2016 Official Polling Map Thread

[MT Treasurer]

The first blue state is appearing on the map...Every beginning is difficult.

[MT Treasurer]

It seems as if the Romney states will remain in the GOP column in 2016 barring a blowout.

[MT Treasurer]

Getting ugly for Republicans. They can't win without Virginia.

They can.

[MT Treasurer]

MS/VT/NM/FL-Gravis:

Mississippi
Clinton: 85% (Hillary leads 100-0 among women)
Bush: 3%
Other/Undecided: 12%

Vermont
Bush: 26%
Clinton: 12%
Sanders (WRITE-IN): 62%

New Mexico
Bush: 62%
Clinton: 32%
Other/Undecided: 6%

Florida
Bush: 44%
Clinton: 46%
Other/Undecided: 10%

The FL crosstabs are interesting:

White women: 75/16 Clinton
White men: 66/28  Bush
Hispanics: 94/5 Bush
NY transplants: 74/20 Clinton
Moderate suburbanites: 60/35 Clinton
Dixiecrats: 80/12 Clinton
Seniors: 46/44 Clinton
Obama voters: 46/42 Bush
Romney voters: 48/40 Clinton

Hmm, there is no Republican path to the presidency that doesn't include Florida and Mississippi. Getting ugly for the GOP. A 2016 electorate basically ensures a Clinton win.

Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush

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Someone needs to poll SC it seems. There is no way Bush is ahead in the state.

[MT Treasurer]

FL - White Appalachian:

Clinton: 55%
Bush: 44%
Other/Undecided: 1%

Clinton leads 62-38 among White women.

Minnesota - BRTD polls

Clinton: 40%
Bush: 47%
Other/Undecided: 13%

Oregon - Mark Halperin University

Clinton: 31%
Bush: 31%
Sanders (WRITE-IN): 32%
Undecided/Other: 6%

Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush