2016 Official Polling Map Thread

[JonathanSwift]

I don't know, guys. Hillary may be dominating in the Solid South and in the Mormon Corridor, but did you hear that the highly respected Halperin-Morris Institute just released a poll showing Jeb Bush trouncing Clinton in five key states won by Barack Obama?

California
Bush: 58%
Clinton: 37%
Other/Undecided: 5%

Colorado
Bush: 96%
Clinton: 1%
Other/Undecided: 3%

Iowa
Bush: 64%
Clinton: 32%
Other/Undecided: 4%

Michigan
Bush: 55%
Clinton: 40%
Other/Undecided: 5%

New Jersey
Bush: 54%
Clinton: 43%
Other/Undecided: 3%

Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush

[JonathanSwift]

Guys, The Young Turks did a nationwide, 50 state poll of this election, with Sanders in green as the third party candidate.



I think these guys over-sampled Republicans in Vermont, Sanders i probably ahead.

I also "unskewed" the polls and it looks like Michigan is LEAN Clinton. Just LEAN, the college campuses will turn out for Sanders and make it close.

Junk poll! There is no possible scenario under which Clinton wins Colorado.

[JonathanSwift]

So, have the Utah polls been released?

Yes:

Hillary: 54%
Kasich: 29%

Hillary: 54%
Carson: 27%

Hillary: 66%
Bush: 20%

Hillary: 67%
Rubio: 20%

Hillary: 71%
Walker: 18%

Hillary: 80%
Trump: 13%

RIP GOP

[JonathanSwift]

New Ozark Herald poll coming in; Hillary dominating.

Arkansas
Bush: 0%
Clinton: 100%

Missouri
Bush: 9%
Clinton: 87%

Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush

[JonathanSwift]

LOL, I like how y'all are trying to hide the fact that Hillary leads in Texas.

Oh, I must have overlooked that one. Would you mind posting it?

[JonathanSwift]

Quite interesting to see Cruz underperforming Rubio and Lincoln in his own home state. Anyway, Dixie Outfitters just released their long-awaited comprehensive Georgia poll.

Bush: 2%
Clinton: 94%
Other/Undecided: 4%

Carson: 7%
Clinton: 90%
Other/Undecided: 3%

Christie: 1%
Clinton: 97%
Other/Undecided: 2%

Clinton: 89%
Cruz: 8%
Other/Undecided: 3%

Clinton: 91%
Fiorina: 3%
Other/Undecided: 6%

Clinton: 90%
Gilmore: 2%
Other/Undecided: 8%

Clinton: 93%
Graham: 2%
Other/Undecided: 5%

Clinton: 78%
Huckabee: 21%
Other/Undecided: 1%

Clinton: 93%
Jindal: 3%
Other/Undecided: 4%

Clinton: 92%
Kasich: 4%
Other/Undecided: 4%

Clinton: 99%
Pataki: 0%
Other/Undecided: 1%

Clinton: 98%
Paul: 1%
Other/Undecided: 1%

Clinton: 92%
Perry: 5%
Other/Undecided: 3%

Clinton: 88%
Rubio: 8%
Other/Undecided: 4%

Clinton: 89%
Santorum: 5%
Other/Undecided: 6%

Clinton: 83%
Trump: 10%
Other/Undecided: 7%

Clinton: 94%
Walker: 3%
Other/Undecided: 3%

It looks like Hilldawg is inevitable even here

Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush

[JonathanSwift]

SC polls been released yet?

Swamp Fox Poll

Bush: 7%
Clinton: 89%
Other/Undecided: 4%

Clinton: 77%
Graham: 18%
Other/Undecided: 5%

Clinton: 82%
Rubio: 14%
Other/Undecided: 4%

Clinton: 80%
Trump: 16%
Other/Undecided: 4%

Clinton: 83%
Walker: 12%
Other/Undecided: 5%

Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush

[JonathanSwift]

New Daily Scarecrow poll shows Hillary making massive inroads on the Plains.

Kansas
Bush: 32%
Clinton: 60%
Other/Undecided: 8%

Nebraska
Bush: 35%
Clinton: 58%
Other/Undecided: 7%

North Dakota
Bush: 42%
Clinton: 48%
Other/Undecided: 10%

Oklahoma
Bush: 24%
Clinton: 69%
Other/Undecided: 7%

South Dakota
Bush: 45%
Clinton: 49%
Other/Undecided: 6%


Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush

Things are getting U-G-L-Y for the GOP, folks. If Hillary has states like Kansas and Nebraska firmly in her column, there simply is no path to the White House for the Party of Lincoln.

[JonathanSwift]

Drop Huckabee and add in Trump

[JonathanSwift]

Drop Huckabee and add in Trump

At this point, I say drop Huckabee and Paul and replace them with Trump and Kasich. At this point I'd say the chance that one of Bush, Walker, Kasich, Trump, and Rubio gets the nomination is at least 90%.

Kasich's chances are vastly overrated on this forum, and I don't think there's been much head-to-head polling involving him anyway. I'd suggest Cruz rather than Kasich as Paul's replacement.