UK local by-elections 2013

[ObserverIE]

South Staffordshire, Perton East

Ind 65.1 (+16.9)
Con 34.9 (-16.9)

West Lindsey, Gainsborough East

Lib Dem 28.6 (-14.6)
Lab 25.3 (-10.4)
UKIP 24.2 (+24.2)
Con 21.9 (+0.9)

Telford and Wrekin, Dawley Magna

Lab 53.9 (+12.2)
Con 21.4 (-11.2)
UKIP 17.6 (+17.6)
Ind 7.1

South Lanarkshire, Rutherglen South

Lab 39.9 (-3.9)
Lib Dem 29.5 (+4.8 )
SNP 21.0 (-2.9)
Con 3.8 (-1.1)
UKIP 3.3 (+3.3)
Green 1.7 (+1.7)
Ind 0.9

Lab	1352	1358	1370	1376	1396	1616
Lib Dem	999	1004	1016	1035	1104	1278
SNP	712	714	730	741	755
Con	128	133	134	170
UKIP	111	115	120
Green	59	60
Ind	31

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Nice result in Dawley.

[Leftbehind]

Would've been three Labour gains if they'd help up better in Gainsborough.

[minionofmidas]

I feel the UKIP surge.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Dawley was a hold. Though a proper return to form in what was always Labour territory; it was lost in the first place because of car parking charges of all things. Anyways, you can probably semi-fairly compare the UKIP figure to the TAWPA one.

TAWPA was really, really, really fycking weird.

[afleitch]

The Rutherglen South win gives Labour a majority in South Lanarkshire. The result itself was expected, there was still a minor swing from Labour to the SNP. The Lib Dems should be pleased with a gradual recovery.

[ObserverIE]

Early Holy Word here

Chelmsford, Broomfield and The Walthams

Lib Dem 38.2 (+21.2)
Con 29.7 (-2.3)
UKIP 19.7 (+19.7)
Lab 9.1 (-0.6)
Green 3.3 (-7.4)

[You kip if you want to...]

Another by-election round my way next week in Pensby & Thingwall on Wirral MBC. A 3-way marginal (1 Lab, 1 Con, 1 Lib member) in Wirral West. I don't know that much about the ward really though, not as much as Leasowe anyway.

Labour seems a lot more vocal after its scare last month and I can only assume that the Wirral West CLP is more organised than their counterparts in Wallasey (and one should hope so in a seat like this).

The Libs won it in 2010, the Cons 2011, Labour 2012. If Labour want any hope of gaining Wirral West in 2015, Pensby's one of the two wards they'll need to win. The other ward is Upton which is very safe for them and the rest of the seat is the affluent coast where the trick for Labour is to just not lose by 20-30% landslides in all of them.

The Liberals over performed their GE result here as Wirral's Labour minority council was extremely unpopular at the time, but they lost confidence after a massive social services scandal and a Tory/LibDem coalition took over. The split in the local result for Wirral West in 2010 was 40-27-27.

Worth noting, to give the Tories a glimmer of hope here for 2015, Labour failed to win across the seat in 2011 and even last year when they won back the majority that they lost in 2002. 

[ObserverIE]

North Norfolk, Cromer Town

Lib Dem 46.6 (+20.4)
Lab 20.1 (-3.8 )
UKIP 18.2 (+18.2)
Con 15.1 (-22.9)

Wakefield, Castleford Central and Glasshoughton

Lab 76.7 (+0.4)
UKIP 17.1 (+1.2)
Con 4.6 (-3.2)
Lib Dem 1.6 (+1.6)

Harrow, West Harrow

Lab 47.6 (+8.7)
Con 34.7 (-)
UKIP 7.8 (+2.5)
Green 4.4 (+4.4)
Lib Dem 3.1 (-15.9)
Ind 2.4 (+2.4)

[MaxQue]

Ouch for Conservatives. They finished 4th in a seat they held.

By the way, their last win in a local by-election is going back at January 24, which is quite bad, especially as they lost seats on the way.

[ObserverIE]

Ouch for Conservatives. They finished 4th in a seat they held.

By the way, their last win in a local by-election is going back at January 24, which is quite bad, especially as they lost seats on the way.

The former Conservative councillor in Norfolk had killed his wife in a murder-suicide, which may have influenced matters.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Yes... circumstances of that nature are... less than ideal as a trigger for a by-election...

Oh.

Trigger.

Sorry.

[ObserverIE]

Yes... circumstances of that nature are... less than ideal as a trigger for a by-election...

Oh.

Trigger.

Sorry.

The circumstances in Harrow are not ideal either.

[YL]

Here's the Holy Word for the English ones this week, and here's Kris Keane's preview of the Scottish one.

The Scottish result is already in (via Kris Keane on Vote UK):

North Lanarkshire, Coatbridge West
Lab 2145
SNP 452
Con 71
UKIP 34
LD 19

And via Andrea on Vote UK:

Ashford, Beaver
Lab 296
Con 158
UKIP 155
Ashford Independents 85
LD 79
Ind 34
Green 19

Kingston upon Thames, Berrylands
LD 948
Con 761
Lab 455
UKIP 175
Green 112

I don't think there's anything very surprising in any of these.

[MaxQue]

And another week without a Conservative win, apparently.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Labour gain Pensby & Thingwall.

[ObserverIE]

Ashford, Beaver (figures in italics represent changes since November 2011 by-election)

Lab 35.8 (-5.7) (-1.7)
Con 19.1 (-14.9) (-8.7)
UKIP 18.8 (+18.8 ) (+18.8 )
Ashford Ind 10.3 (-14.3) (-2.1)
Lib Dem 9.6 (+9.6) (-9.7)
Ind 4.1 (+4.1) (+4.1)
Green 2.3 (+2.3) (-0.6)

Kingston-upon-Thames, Berrylands

Lib Dem 38.7 (-3.0)
Con 31.0 (-6.5)
Lab 18.6 (+9.5)
UKIP 7.1 (+7.1)
Green 4.6 (-5.4)

North Lanarkshire, Coatbridge West

Lab 78.8 (+4.0)
SNP 16.6 (-5.8 )
Con 2.6 (-0.2)
UKIP 1.2 (+1.2)
Lib Dem 0.7 (+0.7)

Wirral, Pensby and Thingwall

Lab 38.5 (+5.7)
Con 23.7 (-4.7)
Lib Dem 22.7 (-2.5)
UKIP 11.6 (+2.4)
Green 2.0 (-2.4)
Eng Dem 1.4 (+1.4)

[You kip if you want to...]

Wirral, Pensby and Thingwall

Lab 38.5 (+5.7)
Con 23.7 (-4.7)
Lib Dem 22.7 (-2.5)
UKIP 11.6 (+2.4)
Green 2.0 (-2.4)
Eng Dem 1.4 (+1.4)

Brilliant!

[Leftbehind]

Strong results for Labour in both Wirral and K-u-T, although especially the former. Seems the more parties stand in Ashford the further the Labour vote erodes there.

[YL]

There's only one (barring parish councils) this week, Heldon & Laich ward of Moray council.  Here's the Holy Word.

[YL]

Speaking of parish councils, the Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition have won a seat on Maltby Town Council, in Rotherham borough, in a two horse race with an independent.  Apparently this is the first time TUSC have ever won an election.

[ObserverIE]

Moray, Heldon and Laich

Ind Cowe 31.4
SNP 26.9 (-10.1)
Con 15.3 (-2.0)
Ind Traynor 13.5
Green 7.4 (+0.8 )
Ind Hamilton 5.6

Cowe	972	1020	1058	1273	1507
SNP	833	844	891	960	1005
Con	473	490	516	558
Traynor	418	459	496
Green	228	242
Hamilton	175

[ObserverIE]

Speaking of parish councils, the Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition have won a seat on Maltby Town Council, in Rotherham borough, in a two horse race with an independent.  Apparently this is the first time TUSC have ever won an election.

Whose front organisation are TUSC?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Speaking of parish councils, the Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition have won a seat on Maltby Town Council, in Rotherham borough, in a two horse race with an independent.  Apparently this is the first time TUSC have ever won an election.

Whose front organisation are TUSC?

All shades of Trots are involved (including those utter charmers at the SWP), but it's mostly Millies.

[minionofmidas]

Speaking of parish councils, the Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition have won a seat on Maltby Town Council, in Rotherham borough, in a two horse race with an independent.  Apparently this is the first time TUSC have ever won an election.

*waves red flag*