2006-2012 Senate swing

[Sic Semper Fascistis]

The color scale is the same used for Presidential swing maps. For the tricky cases when an indy is involved, I took the margin of the winning candidate against the second place finisher and compared it to the margin of the same party's 2006 candidate against the strongest other candidate that year. It's not perfect, but better than the alternatives.

[Miles]

I'm surprised UT didn't swing more R given Romney coattails.

'Pretty sweet that MT swung D by as much as it did.

[Sic Semper Fascistis]

I'm surprised UT didn't swing more R given Romney coattails.

'Pretty sweet that MT swung D by as much as it did.

Interestingly, Tester actually got 0.58 points less than in 2006. But Rehberg underperformed Burns by more than 3 points, thanks to the libertarian guy.

I'm really sad at Ohio though. No reason Mandel the idiot should do better than DeWine the corrupt.

[Marokai Backbeat]

I'm really sad at Ohio though. No reason Mandel the idiot should do better than DeWine the corrupt.

Ugh, don't remind me, please. I still can't believe that utterly worthless piece of sh** (who looked disturbingly like a 13 year old) managed to even get 45%. Money may not win elections, but it effectively polarizes them.

[Niemeyerite]

I'm really sad at Ohio though. No reason Mandel the idiot should do better than DeWine the corrupt.

Ugh, don't remind me, please. I still can't believe that utterly worthless piece of sh** (who looked disturbingly like a 13 year old) managed to even get 45%. Money may not win elections, but it effectively polarizes them.

Yeah, the results in Ohio were surprisingly close for what I was expecting. But a 6-point win isn't that bad if you consider that he was the prime pickup opportunity for republicans after Montana and Virginia. The problem is that we, mistakenly, assumed that a liberal would win by 10 in a marginal GOP state.

[Vosem]

Mandel was one of the best competitive Senate candidates the GOP fielded in 2012. That dude's got a future in the OHGOP if he wants it. Harumph.

[nclib]

The biggest swings are in states that were open, or changed Senators in between (though it is interesting that Hirono's margin was greater than Akaka's in 2006).

Only 2 incumbent GOP Senators remained and both of them (Corker and Hatch) increased their margin (BTW, they both faced flawed nominees).

For the Dems, all incumbents increased their margins except: Nelson (FL), Brown (OH), Casey (PA), and Carper (DE).

Mandel was one of the best competitive Senate candidates the GOP fielded in 2012. That dude's got a future in the OHGOP if he wants it. Harumph.

Not hard to do given the likes of Akin and Mourdock.

[Vosem]

Mandel was one of the best competitive Senate candidates the GOP fielded in 2012. That dude's got a future in the OHGOP if he wants it. Harumph.

Not hard to do given the likes of Akin and Mourdock.

True, true. I'm not honestly even sure whether Akin deserves the label 'competitive'. Did he even win his own CD?

[The Night Owlditor]

Whoohoo Missouri!!

The good tree-hugging, baby-killing, America-hating socialist liberals owe the Tea Party and Todd Akin a legitimate THANK YOU!

[Sic Semper Fascistis]

The biggest swings are in states that were open, or changed Senators in between (though it is interesting that Hirono's margin was greater than Akaka's in 2006).

Only 2 incumbent GOP Senators remained and both of them (Corker and Hatch) increased their margin (BTW, they both faced flawed nominees).

For the Dems, all incumbents increased their margins except: Nelson (FL), Brown (OH), Casey (PA), and Carper (DE).

BTW, here is the swing using the latest special election numbers in States that had one after 2006 (MS, WY, MA, NY and WV). That might make more sense in some cases.

[Zioneer]

I'm surprised UT didn't swing more R given Romney coattails.

'Pretty sweet that MT swung D by as much as it did.

That's because Hatch defeated his 2012 opponent by 65%, 3% more than his 2006 opponent, and beaten his 2000 opponent by 66% (his 2000 opponent was Scott Howell, who was also his opponent in 2012). He's stayed steady, mostly because the liberal population in Utah is barely large enough to keep Hatch from hitting 70%. The odd thing is, that same liberal population apparently votes for Republican governors, because both Huntsman and Herbert have hit 70%.

[Marokai Backbeat]

Mandel was one of the best competitive Senate candidates the GOP fielded in 2012. That dude's got a future in the OHGOP if he wants it. Harumph.

Which is astounding, because he ran a God-awful campaign and acted like a tactless crazy person in debates and interviews.

[Miles]

I though Brown's margin was underwhelming too, but he had $40 million in dark money spent against him, which makes the result a bit more justifiable.

Also, it looks like his race was affected by Obama's slump in Appalachia; lots of red counties in 2006 turned against him this time.

[adma]

The odd thing is, that same liberal population apparently votes for Republican governors, because both Huntsman and Herbert have hit 70%.

Though that Huntsman's basically an "Obama Republican" may clarify why.

[Sic Semper Fascistis]

The odd thing is, that same liberal population apparently votes for Republican governors, because both Huntsman and Herbert have hit 70%.

Though that Huntsman's basically an "Obama Republican" may clarify why.

"Obama Republican"? LOL

[Vosem]

Mandel was one of the best competitive Senate candidates the GOP fielded in 2012. That dude's got a future in the OHGOP if he wants it. Harumph.

Which is astounding, because he ran a God-awful campaign and acted like a tactless crazy person in debates and interviews.

He ran a pretty good campaign, considering how well he fund-raised in spite of being far behind in the polls. He did have an unfortunate tendency to put things quite ineloquently.

The odd thing is, that same liberal population apparently votes for Republican governors, because both Huntsman and Herbert have hit 70%.

Though that Huntsman's basically an "Obama Republican" may clarify why.

Huntsman tried to run against Obama in 2012. I will never understand why he agreed to resign from the Utah Governorship, the move basically killed his career in politics, which beforehand was looking quite promising.

The only Obama Republicans I can think of are Colin Powell, Chuck Hagel (but only in '12) and Kirk Dillard (but only in '08).

[pbrower2a]

Whoohoo Missouri!!

The good tree-hugging, baby-killing, America-hating socialist liberals owe the Tea Party and Todd Akin a legitimate THANK YOU!

Todd Akin found a new taboo to violate, and didn't have a clue. There are politicians that stupid, and they should lose.

Does anyone still think that Democrats are still 'soft on crime'?  If I never hear some bleeding-heart liberal asset that crime is the result of oppression and poverty I won't miss it. Barack Obama must have learned something about crime as a community organizer -- that crime is a character flaw, and that some people are one-person crime waves. The ghetto beast, were he white and privileged, would advance rapidly in the ranks of corporate bureaucracies by doing bad stuff to subordinates before he eventually sells company secrets, embezzles funds, or gets his company entangled in huge lawsuits for sexual harassment.