The way the polls are moving, I will now say that if Venstre gets above the threshold, things are looking very good for the current four majority parties, even if the Greens cross the threshold as well. A recent Respons poll for Aftenposten has this scenario with a 88-81 lead for the current majority parties.
Frp is getting a great deal of attention on their key issue of immigration, which means that they are reaching the 16.3% or above from 2013 in several polls in these days. First, Sylvi Listhaug got a great deal of attention with her proposal to stop following the ECHR's rulings, then Støre decided to make his attack on Solberg for "making Norway a colder and harder place" due to taking Frp into government and accepting Listhaug's rhetoric and proposals, and the finally, there has been a lot of talk about Listhaug's recent trip to Sweden. The Swedish immigration minister Helene Fritzon cancelled on her just before their planned meeting, so instead Listhaug went to the crime-infested ghetto of Rinkeby to illustrate the failed Swedish immigration policies that Norway should try to avoid.
I quote this from the norwegian election threat to ask swedish posters if Rinkeby is in fact an evidence of "failed" swedish immigration policies. I know crime, poverty and unemployment is high there, but is not surprising given the kind of people are there (poor immigrants/refugees from abroad+some poor swedes) and the government are doing good policies there. I read that the schools there are doing great things to integrate the population and despite the difficulties, there are clear advances to integrate people into swedish society. But I don't really know and it could be great to know something from a svensk.
