Guess what, New York State has finally certified their election results (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 16, 2024, 08:42:59 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Guess what, New York State has finally certified their election results (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Guess what, New York State has finally certified their election results  (Read 3148 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: December 31, 2012, 02:44:15 PM »
FINAL RESULTS:

4,471,871 - 63.41% - Obama
2,485,432 - 35.24% - Romney
     47,092 - Johnson
     39,856 - Stein
       8,652 - Others/Write-ins

     63,881 - BVS (Blank, Void, Scattering)

7,116,784 - Total
7,052,903 - Total (without BVS)

http://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/elections/2012/General/PresidentVicePresident12Final12312012.pdf
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: December 31, 2012, 03:01:21 PM »

Except a few write-in-votes from the states that Dave will add in the next weeks.

Anyway, regarding New York State:

Since the election night tally, Obama gained 596.000 votes, Romney gained 258.000 votes and others gained 10.000 votes - for 864.000 votes added since then overall.

Obama won those additional votes by 69-30-1.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: December 31, 2012, 03:21:07 PM »
I just watched a bit from the election-night video again that I recorded on my HDD.

At 9pm, CNN had Romney ahead in the national popular vote by 51-48 (with 10% of the votes counted).

Even when Obama was declared the winner slightly after 11pm, Romney was still leading Obama in the NPV by 50-48 (with 50% of the votes counted).

And now Obama leads by 51-47, with all in.

Does this mean that the GOP candidate has to lead by at least 6% in 2016 @ 11pm to have a chance to win the NPV ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: December 31, 2012, 03:37:14 PM »
Quote from: Tidus on December 31, 2012, 03:33:13 PM
So that means New York is the 5th state that swung Democratic. Am I Right?

The 6th.

AK, LA, MS, MD, NJ, NY.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: December 31, 2012, 03:42:05 PM »
Possible explanations for the states that swung to Obama ?

AK: probably Palin not being on the ballot anymore, homestate effect in 2008

LA & MS: white people who saw that the black Obama is not the Anti-Christ and that the world still stands after 4 years

MD: liberals turning out for the gay marriage amendment ?

NJ & NY: Sandy and the Osama-got-killed-effect
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #5 on: December 31, 2012, 03:45:58 PM »
Quote from: cope1989 on December 31, 2012, 03:43:51 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on December 31, 2012, 03:42:05 PM
Possible explanations for the states that swung to Obama ?

AK: probably Palin not being on the ballot anymore, homestate effect in 2008

LA & MS: white people who saw that the black Obama is not the Anti-Christ and that the world still stands after 4 years

MD: liberals turning out for the gay marriage amendment ?

NJ & NY: Sandy and the Osama-got-killed-effect

I think it has more to do with increasing black turnout in both states.

I don't think black turnout really increased compared with the already strong 2008 black turnout.

More like blacks turning out in similar numbers like in 2008, while more whites stayed home or voted for Obama by a slightly higher margin.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #6 on: December 31, 2012, 04:02:28 PM »
Quote from: Likely Voter on December 31, 2012, 03:52:10 PM
So is it done? The Google Docs 2012 results still shows HI as not certified

Signed, sealed and delivered to the Archivist:

http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/2012-certificates/pdfs/ascertainment-hawaii.pdf
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #7 on: December 31, 2012, 04:20:47 PM »

Yes, and 4 other states came within 1% of swinging to Obama: RI, AZ, CA and AL.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #8 on: January 01, 2013, 01:59:07 AM »
Quote from: Antonio V on December 31, 2012, 03:28:38 PM
And that means VA is officially Democratic by 0.03pts! Cheesy

Wikipedia now says 0.02% ... Tongue

Hopefully VA remains more DEM than the nation ...
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 14 queries.