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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: Torie, ON Progressive)
  Bergen County NJ swing
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Author Topic: Bergen County NJ swing  (Read 7692 times)
jman123
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« on: December 30, 2012, 02:10:06 pm »

http://www.michaelmerzel.com/sitebuilder/images/Bergen_County_Map-450x578.png

  The towns around North Arlington in the map above went for Mccain in 08. But in November they went Obama. What happened in NE NJ?
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traininthedistance
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« Reply #1 on: December 30, 2012, 02:52:49 pm »

http://www.michaelmerzel.com/sitebuilder/images/Bergen_County_Map-450x578.png

  The towns around North Arlington in the map above went for Mccain in 08. But in November they went Obama. What happened in NE NJ?

1: Increasing Hispanic population in the older suburbs
2: Sandy
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Benj
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« Reply #2 on: December 30, 2012, 03:27:41 pm »
« Edited: December 30, 2012, 03:42:38 pm by Benj »

The swing was also pretty small; SW Bergen is very marginal. We often think of the shift from 51% R to 51% D as if it were more significant than any other shift of 2% of the vote elsewhere on the spectrum.

At a glance, I think the biggest swing was in Palisades Park, which went from just under 60% Obama in 2008 to about 67% Obama this year. Palisades Park is also the most heavily Asian town in Bergen County (Korean, almost entirely). It does look like there were huge swings in the Asian-heavy areas in SE Bergen and to a lesser extent in the Northern Valley.

If someone supplied me with a base map, I'd do a precinct-by-precinct or town map of Bergen County.
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