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March 05, 2021, 06:44:07 PM

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: ON Progressive)
  Obama and the white vote
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Author Topic: Obama and the white vote  (Read 1107 times)
jman123
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« on: December 26, 2012, 08:59:06 AM »

 What areas of the country did Obama get the white non hispanic vote? I am interested since exit polls show that obama got 39 percent of the white vote so I was interested in which areas was his support among whites more evident.
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Benj
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« Reply #1 on: December 26, 2012, 09:12:01 AM »

New England, the Pacific Northwest and Hawaii. Actually, that might be white men... Could have won whites as a whole in NJ, NY, CA and parts of the Midwest.
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Sbane
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« Reply #2 on: December 26, 2012, 12:06:56 PM »

Definitely didn't in California, though it was likely a 4-6 point loss as opposed to the 10 point loss the exit poll said.
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Oh Jeremy Corbyn!
unempprof
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« Reply #3 on: December 26, 2012, 01:54:55 PM »

New England, the Pacific Northwest and Hawaii. Actually, that might be white men... Could have won whites as a whole in NJ, NY, CA and parts of the Midwest.

Correct, he won all 6 New England states, OR, WA and HI.  Also Iowa.  In New York it was really close and he might have won but I'm not 100% sure.  What about Delaware and DC?  I haven't seen any exit polls but I would assume he won the white vote in both.
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nclib
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« Reply #4 on: December 26, 2012, 07:50:29 PM »

New England, the Pacific Northwest and Hawaii. Actually, that might be white men... Could have won whites as a whole in NJ, NY, CA and parts of the Midwest.

Correct, he won all 6 New England states, OR, WA and HI.  Also Iowa.  In New York it was really close and he might have won but I'm not 100% sure.  What about Delaware and DC?  I haven't seen any exit polls but I would assume he won the white vote in both.


DC is of course a given. DE whites IIRC went barely for Obama in 2008, so if whites swung similar to the state swing, Romney may have won DE whites.
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #5 on: December 26, 2012, 08:45:34 PM »

Definitely didn't in California, though it was likely a 4-6 point loss as opposed to the 10 point loss the exit poll said.

It may have actually been a 10% loss. Looking at precinct results, the lack of an overall GOP swing in California was almost entirely thanks to Asians.
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Sbane
sbane
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« Reply #6 on: December 26, 2012, 09:11:02 PM »

Definitely didn't in California, though it was likely a 4-6 point loss as opposed to the 10 point loss the exit poll said.

It may have actually been a 10% loss. Looking at precinct results, the lack of an overall GOP swing in California was almost entirely thanks to Asians.

Vietnamese certainly swung to Obama but not sure about others. Looking at precinct results in the San Gabriel valley, things didnt change much. Whites did swing back, and all of the swing away from Obama can be explained by that. Still, according to exit polls in 2008, Obama actually won whites by 6 points. Even if it was more like a 2 point win, a 6 point swing back would imply a 4 point win for Romney. It also depends on if 28% of the electorate was 18-29 years old. I don't really buy that.
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memphis
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« Reply #7 on: December 26, 2012, 09:39:42 PM »

Mississippi Tongue
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #8 on: December 27, 2012, 12:03:56 PM »


The Deep South seems to be the one region of the country where the white vote trended Democratic (since there were barely any left to lose Tongue).
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