Census population estimates 2011-2019
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Author Topic: Census population estimates 2011-2019  (Read 180223 times)
KingSweden
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« Reply #425 on: March 06, 2018, 10:56:11 PM »

Krazen is bad at trolling AND math. Who knew.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #426 on: March 12, 2018, 11:24:00 AM »

Any predictions for the census county estimates?
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cinyc
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« Reply #427 on: March 12, 2018, 04:08:16 PM »

Any predictions for the census county estimates?

The state of Alaska released its own estimates, and Mat-Su Borough was the only county equivalent there that was significantly growing. I suspect that Census will find the same. Alaska’s full report is here: http://labor.alaska.gov/trends/mar18.pdf

I also think the Western ND oil counties will show very slow growth or a population decline.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #428 on: March 13, 2018, 10:05:36 AM »

Any predictions for the census county estimates?

The state of Alaska released its own estimates, and Mat-Su Borough was the only county equivalent there that was significantly growing. I suspect that Census will find the same. Alaska’s full report is here: http://labor.alaska.gov/trends/mar18.pdf

I also think the Western ND oil counties will show very slow growth or a population decline.

On that last point, I suspect you are right
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Gass3268
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« Reply #429 on: March 13, 2018, 10:52:40 AM »

Are they late? They usually are almost always released in the morning.
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cinyc
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« Reply #430 on: March 13, 2018, 12:15:45 PM »
« Edited: March 13, 2018, 12:34:53 PM by cinyc »

Are they late? They usually are almost always released in the morning.

The national projections were released today: https://www.census.gov/data/tables/2017/demo/popproj/2017-summary-tables.html

 The county estimates will be released to the public on March 22.
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cinyc
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« Reply #431 on: March 21, 2018, 06:33:43 PM »

County estimates come out tomorrow morning, likely around 10AM Eastern. Any guesses on what they will show?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #432 on: March 21, 2018, 06:51:26 PM »

County estimates come out tomorrow morning, likely around 10AM Eastern. Any guesses on what they will show?

I’m thinking Texas counties still leading the way, and breakneck growth % wise in King (WA), Ada (ID) and the Atlanta counties
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cinyc
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« Reply #433 on: March 21, 2018, 07:02:59 PM »

County estimates come out tomorrow morning, likely around 10AM Eastern. Any guesses on what they will show?

I’m thinking Texas counties still leading the way, and breakneck growth % wise in King (WA), Ada (ID) and the Atlanta counties

Maricopa, AZ actually had the largest numerical increase last year. Will that continue? Or will it be another county this year?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #434 on: March 21, 2018, 07:08:54 PM »

County estimates come out tomorrow morning, likely around 10AM Eastern. Any guesses on what they will show?

I’m thinking Texas counties still leading the way, and breakneck growth % wise in King (WA), Ada (ID) and the Atlanta counties

Maricopa, AZ actually had the largest numerical increase last year. Will that continue? Or will it be another county this year?

That honestly wouldn’t surprise me but who knows. I could see it slowing with lessened Latino in migration
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cinyc
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« Reply #435 on: March 21, 2018, 11:30:57 PM »
« Edited: March 22, 2018, 02:05:52 AM by cinyc »

We're starting to get a preview of tomorrow's census release from newspaper websites. Census' official release is here. Data will come in the morning.

The 2016-17 winners and losers:

The Largest-Gaining Counties (Total Population):

1. Maricopa County, Arizona, up 73,650 to 4,307,033, 1.7 percent increase.
2. Clark County, Nevada, up 47,355 to 2,204,079, 2.2 percent.
3. Riverside County, California, up 36,744 to 2,423,266, 1.5 percent
4. Harris County, Texas, up 35,939 to 4,652,980, 0.8 percent.
5. Tarrant County, Texas, up 32,729 to 2,054,475, 1.6 percent.
6. King County, Washington, up 32,687 to 2,188,649, 1.5 percent.
7. Bexar County, Texas, up 30,831 to 1,958,578, 1.6 percent.
8. Dallas County, Texas, up 30,686 to 2,618,148, 1.2 percent.
9. Denton County, Texas, up 27,911 to 836,210, 3.5 percent.
10. Collin County, Texas, up 27,150 to 969,603, 2.9 percent.

Fastest-Growing Counties (Percentage Increase):

1. Falls Church city, VA 5.2%
2. Comal County, TX 5.1%
3. Wasatch County, UT 5.0%
4. Hays County, TX 5.0%
5. Kendall County, TX 4.9%
6. Walton County, FL 4.5%
7. Tooele County, UT 4.4%
8. Morgan County, UT 4.4%
9. Lumpkin County, GA 4.3%
10. Osceola County, FL 4.2%

Biggest total population drops

1. Cook County (Chicago): down 20,093 to 5,211,263.
2. Baltimore city: down 5,310 to 611,648.
3. Cuyahoga County: down 4,940 to 1,248,514.
4. St. Louis city: down 4,518 to 308,626.
5. Allegheny County (Pittsburgh): down 4,505 to 1,223,048.
6. Honolulu County, Hawaii: down 4,111 to 988,650.
7. Milwaukee County, Wisconsin: down 3,284 to 952,085.
8. Anchorage County, Alaska: down 3,020 to 294,356.
9. Wayne County (Detroit), Michigan: down 2,982 to 1,753,616.
10. Kanawha County (Charleston), West Virginia: down 2,804 to 183,293.

Largest-Gaining Metro Areas (Total Population):
1. Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX +146,238
2. Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX +94,417
3. Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA +89,013
4. Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ +88,772
5. Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV +65,908
6. Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA +64,386
7. Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA +57,017
8. Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL +56,498
9. Austin-Round Rock, TX +55,269
10. Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL +54,874

Fastest-Growing Metros (Percentage Increase):

1. St. George, Utah, 4 percent to 165,662.
2. Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, S.C. and N.C., 3.7 percent to 447,793.
3. Greeley, Colo., 3.5 percent to 294,243.
4. Bend-Redmond, Ore., 3.4 percent to 180,675.
5. Coeur d'Alene, Idaho, 2.9 percent to 153,144.
6. Lakeland-Winter Haven, Fla., 2.9 percent to 667,018.
7. Boise City, Idaho, 2.8 percent to 690,810.
8. Provo-Orem, Utah, 2.7 percent to 601,478.
9. Austin-Round Rock, Texas, 2.7 percent to 2,060,558.
10. The Villages, Fla., 2.5 percent to 125,165.

Interactive map from Cleveland.com
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Nyvin
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« Reply #436 on: March 22, 2018, 09:00:05 AM »

Has all the data been released yet?  I just see the top 10 figures they posted, not the excel sheets or maps they usually put out.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #437 on: March 22, 2018, 09:54:27 AM »

Can’t wait to dive into these numbers
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #438 on: March 22, 2018, 10:05:49 AM »

Has all the data been released yet?  I just see the top 10 figures they posted, not the excel sheets or maps they usually put out.

Go to the press kits link and there is a path to get to the estimates from there
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Nyvin
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« Reply #439 on: March 22, 2018, 02:11:13 PM »
« Edited: March 22, 2018, 03:36:09 PM by Nyvin »

A lot of rural areas seem to be making a comeback,  the declines are nowhere near as widespread as previous years.   Some long-term declines remained, like in Appalachia, Mississippi Delta, or northern Maine, but elsewhere things got better.

The entire Chicago metro lost population,  including Dupage, Lake IL, and Lake IN.

Only Coos County in NH lost population, all others gained,  Carrol growing the fastest (weird!)
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jimrtex
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« Reply #440 on: March 22, 2018, 03:58:38 PM »

As of the July 2017 estimates:

87 counties now have population sufficient for a congressional district (1/435 of the national population). This is up from 83 in 2010. The new giants are Cobb and DeKalb in Georgia, and Denton and Fort Bend in Texas. None have dropped, though Monroe in New York is perilously close.

53 of the giants are gaining at a faster rate than the country as a whole, 34 are losing ground.

6 are losing in absolute numbers: New Haven, CT; Wayne, MI; St. Louis (County), MO; Suffolk, NY; Cuyahoga, OH; and Allegheny, PA.
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Beet
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« Reply #441 on: March 22, 2018, 04:09:57 PM »

The Houston metro was growing faster than Dallas earlier in the decade. Now it's reversed. This is all pre-Harvey too. With the Amazon 2nd headquarters likely to move to Dallas with Houston not even on the contender list, and Huntsville being selected for Blue Origin, I wonder if Houston is f---ed. In 30 years with all electric cars, people won't need oil anymore.
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TexArkana
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« Reply #442 on: March 22, 2018, 04:15:44 PM »

Off topic, but it's interesting going back to the first few pages of this thread and seeing Krazen actually posting somewhat intelligent, thoughtful comments. what happened between then and now?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #443 on: March 22, 2018, 04:26:21 PM »

Off topic, but it's interesting going back to the first few pages of this thread and seeing Krazen actually posting somewhat intelligent, thoughtful comments. what happened between then and now?

Absolutely outstanding cocaine
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #444 on: March 22, 2018, 04:32:21 PM »

Off topic, but it's interesting going back to the first few pages of this thread and seeing Krazen actually posting somewhat intelligent, thoughtful comments. what happened between then and now?

When I first got here I read all the old 2010 redistricting threads. There, Krazen was an insightful and pleasantly constant presence from the right. It's like a complete 180 if you go and read them.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #445 on: March 22, 2018, 07:13:03 PM »

As of the July 2017 estimates:

87 counties now have population sufficient for a congressional district (1/435 of the national population). This is up from 83 in 2010. The new giants are Cobb and DeKalb in Georgia, and Denton and Fort Bend in Texas. None have dropped, though Monroe in New York is perilously close.

53 of the giants are gaining at a faster rate than the country as a whole, 34 are losing ground.

6 are losing in absolute numbers: New Haven, CT; Wayne, MI; St. Louis (County), MO; Suffolk, NY; Cuyahoga, OH; and Allegheny, PA.
18 are gaining at more than twice the national rate: Maricopa, AZ; Hollsborough, FL; Orange, FL; Palm Beach, FL; Fulton, GA; Gwinnett, GA; Clark, NV; Mecklenburg, NC; Wake, NC; Bexar, TX; Collin, TX; Denton, TX; Fort Bend, TX; Harris, TX; Tarrant, TX; Travis, TX; King, WA; and Snohomish, WA.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #446 on: March 22, 2018, 07:33:30 PM »
« Edited: March 22, 2018, 11:01:37 PM by jimrtex »

22 counties have gained more than 1/10 of a congressional district since 2010:

Harris, TX 0.450
Maricopa, AZ 0.376
King, WA 0.203
Bexar, TX 0.201
Fort Bend, TX 0.197
Travis, TX 0.196
Tarrant, TX 0.196
Clark, NV 0.195
Collin, TX 0.193
Orange, FL 0.188
Denton, TX 0.182
Wake, NC 0.163
Dallas, TX 0.161
Miami-Dade, FL 0.159
Riverside, CA 0.152
Hillsborough, FL 0.150
Mecklenburg, NC 0.141
Williamson, TX 0.136
Broward, FL 0.123
Montgomery, TX 0.121
Lee, FL 0.116
Palm Beach, FL 0.105

5 counties have lost more than 1/10 of a district since 2010.

Cook, IL -0.359
Los Angeles, CA -0.259
Wayne, MI -0.223
Cuyahoga, OH -0.136
Suffolk, NY -0.110
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henster
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« Reply #447 on: March 22, 2018, 07:47:11 PM »

The Houston metro was growing faster than Dallas earlier in the decade. Now it's reversed. This is all pre-Harvey too. With the Amazon 2nd headquarters likely to move to Dallas with Houston not even on the contender list, and Huntsville being selected for Blue Origin, I wonder if Houston is f---ed. In 30 years with all electric cars, people won't need oil anymore.

Since when is Amazon HQ2 likely to be in Dallas, I thought the DMV area was the most likely location?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #448 on: March 23, 2018, 07:19:37 AM »

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #449 on: March 23, 2018, 01:03:12 PM »

http://www.citypopulation.de/USA.html

... has updated with the new 2017 data for states, counties, metros, cities/towns and clickable maps !
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