Roll Call:South Carolina: Sanford ‘Studying’ Run for Scott’s Seat

[Talleyrand]

Sanford has a number of advantages for the primary race, so he can't be counted out.  First off, he was the 1st District Representative before he ran for Governor, so he's got a double dose of name recognition.  Many voters will already know what he be like as a Representative, and that will suit the tea party faction fine.  But secondly, he's got a fair amount of campaign cash left over from his previous campaigns that he could use in this one, so he's got a considerable head start in financing, which is doubly important in special elections.  If Sanford runs, I'd expect he at least makes the runoff (unlike some States, South Carolina has primary runoffs in special elections) but with his negatives, he'll have a tough time winning the runoff.  If he does win the primary a lot will depend on who the Democrats end up running.

Do the Democrats have anyone here who could win and if so, is there any chance that any of those individuals might run?

Linda Ketner, the 2008 Democratic candidate for this seat, lost by only four points, but I believe she's in her sixties and not interested in running again.

[pbrower2a]

PPP says he's a polarizing figure with Republicans and has nearly 2-1 unfavourables statewide. IMO they should find someone deserving of a promotion rather than this douche.

What he did wrong is between him and his (ex?)wife.  Aside from that he would be a great congressperson.

Even worse --

In the military it is known as "dereliction of duty". The adultery was insignificant in contrast. What could have happened had there been a natural disaster, a prison riot, or the outbreak of a war? A Governor must remain reachable in such an event. It is not as if he were on Air Force One in Australia, where he is not out of contact with the potential knowledge of any 'clear and present danger' to the United States.   

Mark Sanford failed a basic requirement of high elected office -- to be reachable in the event of an emergency. South Carolina has elected some incredible turkeys to the State House and to the US Senate.

[nolesfan2011]

If Mark Sanford can get back into politics John Edwards should too, heck he should run against Sanford (he is from SC anyway), that would be fun.

http://atr.rollcall.com/south-carolina-mark-sanford-studying-run-for-tim-scotts-seat/

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[nolesfan2011]

That would be a christmas miracle

Now I'm just waiting for the man in my sig to decide maybe to primary Hagan and life will be wonderful.

[nolesfan2011]

reminds me of the ex state house speaker in Georgia, Glenn Richardson. Resigned in scandal after having an affair with a lobbyist, trying to kill himself, and having depression problems, guy was a total wreck.. but he came back this year and tried to run for state senate (lost though).

http://www.ajc.com/news/news/glenn-richardson-starts-from-scratch/nSWy6/

He's in.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/12/20/first-on-cnn-mark-sanford-plans-to-run-for-congress/

[Mr.Phips]

Sanford has a number of advantages for the primary race, so he can't be counted out.  First off, he was the 1st District Representative before he ran for Governor, so he's got a double dose of name recognition.  Many voters will already know what he be like as a Representative, and that will suit the tea party faction fine.  But secondly, he's got a fair amount of campaign cash left over from his previous campaigns that he could use in this one, so he's got a considerable head start in financing, which is doubly important in special elections.  If Sanford runs, I'd expect he at least makes the runoff (unlike some States, South Carolina has primary runoffs in special elections) but with his negatives, he'll have a tough time winning the runoff.  If he does win the primary a lot will depend on who the Democrats end up running.

Do the Democrats have anyone here who could win and if so, is there any chance that any of those individuals might run?

Linda Ketner, the 2008 Democratic candidate for this seat, lost by only four points, but I believe she's in her sixties and not interested in running again.

There is also former state Rep. and nearly successful Lt. Governor candidate in 2006, Bob Barber.  Democrats also have some state Reps in the Charleston part of the district.

[RogueBeaver]

Sanford's getting in next week.

http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/mark-sanford-will-run-congress_695167.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

[CatoMinor]

Sanford's getting in next week.

http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/mark-sanford-will-run-congress_695167.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

[Duke 🇺🇸]

He's running! Woohoo!

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Well, that will make the election be to see who gets into the runoff against him and then beat him in the runoff.  This means that whoever wins the seat is either going to be fairly moderate for a Palmetto Republican or be an extreme social conservative who may have learned to not mention that he believes in such a thing as legitimate rape or the like.

[krazen1211]

Has any Democrat declared for SC-01? The Republican primary is a clown car.

[freepcrusher]

Has any Democrat declared for SC-01? The Republican primary is a clown car.

maybe Mendel Davis can pull a Rick Nolan.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

And Jenny Sanford is not running

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Has any Democrat declared for SC-01? The Republican primary is a clown car.

I wouldn't call it a clown car just yet, even tho there at least four other Republicans who have indicated a firm intention to run.  Thomas Ravenel has only indicated he's considering running, not he definitely would be.  It would be interesting to see it come down to a runoff between Sanford and Ravenel.  Sanford would actually have a shot at winning it.  But if Ravenel won, there would be one more voice on Capitol Hill in favor of legalizing drugs.

I haven't heard of any Democrats, but filing doesn't open until Friday, and it's not unreasonable that the media have focused on the Republicans.  It would take someone like Sanford or Ravenel winning the GOP primary for a Democrat to have a good shot at winning.the special election.

[freepcrusher]

Has any Democrat declared for SC-01? The Republican primary is a clown car.

maybe Mendel Davis can pull a Rick Nolan.

nevermind, i didn't realize he had died. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mendel_Jackson_Davis

[RogueBeaver]

Sanford's in.

http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/337753/mark-sanford-i-m-running-congress-jim-geraghty

[Zioneer]

Sanford's in.

http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/337753/mark-sanford-i-m-running-congress-jim-geraghty

He sounds pretty arrogant.

[wan]

South Carolina needs to stand up as well and let the Country know THEY are trying to get rid of the garbage they keep sending to Congress!

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

South Carolina needs to stand up as well and let the Country know THEY are trying to get rid of the garbage they keep sending to Congress!

We are trying to get rid of the garbage, but it keeps coming back to South Carolina every 2 or 6 years after we ship it off to D.C.

[Duke 🇺🇸]

I can't wait for Mark to win! I just hope he stays in DC and doesn't run off to Argentina again.

[You Don’t Mess With The Zohran]

I hope Mark wins the primary, if only because we might pick up the seat then.

[CatoMinor]

I can't wait for Mark to win! I just hope he stays in DC and doesn't run off to Argentina again.

Do you really or are you just being sarcastic lol?

[Duke 🇺🇸]

I can't wait for Mark to win! I just hope he stays in DC and doesn't run off to Argentina again.

Do you really or are you just being sarcastic lol?

I am voting for Mark. Who else would I support? Ravenel can't keep his hands off coke.

[CatoMinor]

I can't wait for Mark to win! I just hope he stays in DC and doesn't run off to Argentina again.

Do you really or are you just being sarcastic lol?

I am voting for Mark. Who else would I support? Ravenel can't keep his hands off coke.

I thought Sandford would be a bit too to the right for your tastes

[Duke 🇺🇸]

I can't wait for Mark to win! I just hope he stays in DC and doesn't run off to Argentina again.

Do you really or are you just being sarcastic lol?

I am voting for Mark. Who else would I support? Ravenel can't keep his hands off coke.

I thought Sandford would be a bit too to the right for your tastes

I don't have anyone else I care to support. I always liked Sanford, despite his rejection of federal funds from the stimulus package. I never cared about his affair.