Roll Call:South Carolina: Sanford ‘Studying’ Run for Scott’s Seat

[Incipimus iterum]

http://atr.rollcall.com/south-carolina-mark-sanford-studying-run-for-tim-scotts-seat/

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[TJ in Oregon]

You've got to be kidding...

[Incipimus iterum]

You've got to be kidding...

nope not Kidding

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

Wouldn't it be amazing if he and his ex-wife ran against eachother in the primary.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Study all you want, you're still going to wind up getting a C-minus.

[Maxwell]

Now I'm just waiting for the man in my sig to decide maybe to primary Hagan and life will be wonderful.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Wouldn't it be amazing if he and his ex-wife ran against eachother in the primary.

That is a distant possibility, tho I think Jenny is likelier to run than Mark, and I really doybt either of them will, let alone both.

Here's some more speculation about others who might run for the seat: http://www.thestate.com/2012/12/18/2560302/scotts-seat-has-many-takers.html

[Duke 🇺🇸]

My boy mark! Bringing that international love to Washington!

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Wiki's NYC 2013 mayor page lists both Spitzer and his madam as potential candidates.

[Hash]

He should run for office in Argentina instead. The opposition to the Cristina Kirchner is a joke, so they could have a 'star candidate' with him.

[minionofmidas]

Dems need to find a good candidate and hope the Republican nomination turns a trainwreck.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

I like Sanford. I hope he runs and wins. But, it will seem kind of pathetic to have a former Governor brought down by scandal now representing some random House seat.

[Benj]

Study all you want, you're still going to wind up getting a C-minus.

Hey, in politics, we call 70% a landslide.

[SPC]

I like Sanford. I hope he runs and wins. But, it will seem kind of pathetic to have a former Governor brought down by scandal now representing some random House seat.

To be fair, it was his former House seat, not just a random House seat.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

I like Sanford. I hope he runs and wins. But, it will seem kind of pathetic to have a former Governor brought down by scandal now representing some random House seat.

To be fair, it was his former House seat, not just a random House seat.

And Sanford would have left the governor's office because of term limits.  All his walking the Argentina Trail did was make it so that when he left it wasn't just because of term limits.  In fact if he had as expected, made a stab at the presidential nomination this year, but not gotten it.  I could easily see him running and winning the upcoming special election.  (Unless he did well enough in '12 to make him the designated successor to Romney in '16.)

[RogueBeaver]

He's in.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/12/20/first-on-cnn-mark-sanford-plans-to-run-for-congress/

[You Don’t Mess With The Zohran]

Wiki's NYC 2013 mayor page lists both Spitzer and his madam as potential candidates.

Don't forget Weiner.

[Vosem]

The interesting question here is who the local conservatives who approached him are.

[RogueBeaver]

PPP says he's a polarizing figure with Republicans and has nearly 2-1 unfavourables statewide. IMO they should find someone deserving of a promotion rather than this douche.

[CatoMinor]

PPP says he's a polarizing figure with Republicans and has nearly 2-1 unfavourables statewide. IMO they should find someone deserving of a promotion rather than this douche.

What he did wrong is between him and his (ex?)wife.  Aside from that he would be a great congressperson.

[Tokugawa Sexgod Ieyasu]

PPP says he's a polarizing figure with Republicans and has nearly 2-1 unfavourables statewide. IMO they should find someone deserving of a promotion rather than this douche.

What he did wrong is between him and his (ex?)wife.  Aside from that he would be a great congressperson.

Going missing from the state for several days is between him and his ex-wife?

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Sanford has a number of advantages for the primary race, so he can't be counted out.  First off, he was the 1st District Representative before he ran for Governor, so he's got a double dose of name recognition.  Many voters will already know what he be like as a Representative, and that will suit the tea party faction fine.  But secondly, he's got a fair amount of campaign cash left over from his previous campaigns that he could use in this one, so he's got a considerable head start in financing, which is doubly important in special elections.  If Sanford runs, I'd expect he at least makes the runoff (unlike some States, South Carolina has primary runoffs in special elections) but with his negatives, he'll have a tough time winning the runoff.  If he does win the primary a lot will depend on who the Democrats end up running.

[tmthforu94]

It seems like if he can avoid a runoff, he's golden. Can only those who voted in the primary vote in the run-off? I don't really know how those work.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

It seems like if he can avoid a runoff, he's golden. Can only those who voted in the primary vote in the run-off? I don't really know how those work.

If you were eligible to vote in the primary then you can vote in the runoff so long as you did not vote in another party's primary held for the same election.  (Since if a runoff is needed it will be two weeks after the primary, that means among other things you must be at least 18 years and 14 days old to vote in the runoff, since you needed to be 18 years old when the primary was held.)

I doubt Sanford can avoid a runoff.  He's likely to do exactly what Beasley did in the 2004 Senate primary, come in first in the primary because of his name recognition and then lose the runoff when the anti-BeasleySanford vote has only one candidate to choose from.

[Abolish ICE]

Sanford has a number of advantages for the primary race, so he can't be counted out.  First off, he was the 1st District Representative before he ran for Governor, so he's got a double dose of name recognition.  Many voters will already know what he be like as a Representative, and that will suit the tea party faction fine.  But secondly, he's got a fair amount of campaign cash left over from his previous campaigns that he could use in this one, so he's got a considerable head start in financing, which is doubly important in special elections.  If Sanford runs, I'd expect he at least makes the runoff (unlike some States, South Carolina has primary runoffs in special elections) but with his negatives, he'll have a tough time winning the runoff.  If he does win the primary a lot will depend on who the Democrats end up running.

Do the Democrats have anyone here who could win and if so, is there any chance that any of those individuals might run?