2013 Elections in Germany

[Lief 🗽]

Do not take this seriously. But this is a rumour reported over there (the parties have a 'partial result' of the exit poll by now, so it's not necessarily an invention. Though, of course, your money should be on it being one.)

Union 41 #SPD 26 #FDP 4,8 #AFD 5 #Grüne 10 #Linke 9

That would be a hilarious result.

[RogueBeaver]

FT reporting on Twitter that party exit polls have CDU/CSU at 40%, SPD at 26-28% and FDP/AfD both below 5%.

[minionofmidas]

Twenty more minutes before we'll know a bit more.

[minionofmidas]

I wouldn't breathe relief yet on a 5.5% or 4.5% figure in an exit poll - but I would on 6% or 4%.

[jaichind]

CDU 42.5
SPD 26.5
FPD   4.5
Left    8.5
Greens 8
AfD    4.8

[minionofmidas]

CDU/CSU 42
SPD 26
FDP 4.7
Greens 8
Left 8.5
AfD 4.9
Pirate 2.5
other 3.4

(ARD)

turnout estimated at 73

[minionofmidas]

This leaves the possibility of Merkel winning a majority.

[jaichind]

Looks like FDP and AfD both still have a chance to go over 5%.  If both does not make it it seems CDU/CSU is very close to beating SPD+Linke+Greens.

[Beezer]

Damn this is close.

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

FDP 4.7
AfD 4.9
(ARD)

This will be a long evening.

[Tender Branson]

Watch live here:

http://megatv.to/zdf-hd/

http://megatv.to/das-erste-hd/

[Tender Branson]

It would be hilarious if the Liberals get kicked out in Germany and next week voted in in Austria.

[Tender Branson]

A Merkel absolute majority would be ...

[RogueBeaver]

ARD projection says Grand Coalition, ZDF a razor-thin absolute Union majority. (297 or 302) Long night indeed.

[jaichind]

Any link where I can track results as they come in ?

[minionofmidas]

Any link where I can track results as they come in ?

https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/wahlen/BU2013/Ergebnisstand.asp?sel1=2155&sel2=0648
Berlin precincts as they come in
http://www.statistik-hessen.de/l2013/gemeinden.htm
Hessian municipalities as they come in
http://bundeswahlleiter.de/de/bundestagswahlen/BTW_BUND_13/ergebnisse/status/
Federal constituencies as they come in... which won't happen for many hours yet. We count by hand.

[minionofmidas]

ARD projection says Grand Coalition, ZDF a razor-thin absolute Union majority. (297 or 302) Long night indeed.

False. The ZDF is guesstimating some overhang seats - it sees the CDU at 302 out of 608.

[Tender Branson]

The Union currently 3 seats short of an absolute majority, says the 1st ZDF projection.

301 of 606 seats (304 needed).

[minionofmidas]

Which is not to say that such a result isn't possible, of course.

And would probably mean curtains for the FDP.

[Silent Hunter]

ARD projection says Grand Coalition, ZDF a razor-thin absolute Union majority. (297 or 302) Long night indeed.

ZDF now predicting Union with 301 out of 606 seats, so just short... no seats for FDP whatsoever.

[jaichind]

ZFD

CDU     42.3
SPD      26.3
FDP        4.5
Greens   8
Left        8.5
AfD        4.8

It still has CDU/CSU behind 42.3 vs 42.8

[minionofmidas]

ARD projection says Grand Coalition, ZDF a razor-thin absolute Union majority. (297 or 302) Long night indeed.

ZDF now predicting Union with 301 out of 606 seats, so just short... no seats for FDP whatsoever.

Well duh, if they're under 5.0000000000% they get 0 seats. If they're just over they get 30 seats. That's a strict random threshold for you.

[Tender Branson]

1st real ARD projection:

[Tender Branson]

ARD seats:

Union 298
Others 300

[RogueBeaver]

Forsa has the FDP at 5 and AfD 4.9%.