Why did Upstate NY swing D? (user search)
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  Why did Upstate NY swing D? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why did Upstate NY swing D?  (Read 4221 times)
Benj
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« on: March 31, 2013, 09:44:28 AM »

In 2012, it actually trended significantly towards Obama, so the Republican trend was clearly short-term. It did trend fairly Republican in 2004 and 2008, though. Amsterdam, the largest town in Montgomery County, is your traditional declining upstate industrial small town on the Erie Canal. It lost population at every Census from 1940 to 2000, though it grew slightly in 2010. Similar is true of Canajoharie, the other town of size in the county.

Saratoga, Washington and Warren Counties are very different and much more rural historically, especially Washington and Warren. None of them are on the Erie Canal. I think better comparisons are to towns and counties to the west also on the Canal, like Herkimer and Oneida Counties. They showed a similar pattern of moving Republican in 2004 and 2008 but Democratic in 2012, which seems to be what the post-industrial upstate towns all did.
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Benj
Jr. Member
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Posts: 979


« Reply #1 on: April 06, 2013, 03:36:47 PM »

Because Romney ignored conservative base and all blue states, they did not turn out. Even the folks in Buffalo voted for Carl Paladino.

Total misunderstanding of the Carl Paladino vote.
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