tmthforu94
Atlas Star
    
Posts: 22,408

Political Matrix E: -2.71, S: -2.43

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« on: December 11, 2012, 01:40:08 PM » |
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I'm doing this mainly out of tradition. Thanks to redistricting, eight of our nine districts are most likely safe, with IN-02 being the only exception. We also don't have a Senate race. Needless to say, I am looking forward to not having my TV bombarded with ads like we had this last cycle.
US House Races:
IN-01 Republican Candidate
Democratic Candidate Congressman Pete Visclosky
Tmth Rating: Safe Democratic
IN-02 Republican Candidate Ms. Jackie Walorski
Democratic Candidates Mr. Brendan Mullen
Sources say Mullen is gearing up for a rematch, though he is in for a battle as GOP turnout is much stronger in midterms than Democrats, Walorski will have the advantage of incumbency, and the 2012 mood was much favorable for him than 2014 will likely be. He came surprisingly close in 2012, though, something no one was expecting, including myself.
Tmth Rating: Lean Republican
IN-03 Republican Candidate Congressman Marlin Stutzman
Democratic Candidate
Tmth Rating: Safe Republican
IN-04 Republican Candidate Congressman Todd Rokita
Democratic Candidate
Tmth Rating: Safe Republican
IN-05 Republican Candidate Congresswoman Susan Brooks
Democratic Candidate
Tmth Rating: Safe Republican
IN-06 Republican Candidate Congressman Luke Messer
Democratic Candidate
Tmth Rating: Safe Republican
IN-07 Republican Candidate
Democratic Candidate Congressman Andre Carson
Tmth Rating: Safe Democratic
IN-08 Republican Candidate Congressman Larry Bucshon
Last cycle, Bucshon was challenged by Tea Party favorite Kristi Risk, and was only able to get around 60% of the vote. She will not be running in 2014.
Democratic Candidate
Tmth Rating: Likely Republican
IN-09 Republican Candidate Congressman Todd Young
Democratic Candidate
Tmth Rating: Safe Republican
Indiana House: Safe Republican
Republicans got to 60 seats in 2010 with a map that was actually considered to be gerrymandered for the Democrats. Republicans responded with their own map (which I'll argue isn't as bad as the last one was), and as a result, gained nine seats this cycle, with quite a few Democratic incumbents declining to run for reelection. Considering how close they came in a number of other races, I expect Republicans to exceed 70 seats in 2014. The Indiana Democratic Party was able to snag State Superintendent and also took the Senate race, though mainly out of luck. However, at the state level, things are going to get very tricky for them as they have little influence now at the State level. Luckily for them, though, there is still a good chunk of voters in this state who would vote for either party - it's not nearly as partisan here as other parts of the nation.
Indiana Senate: Safe Republican
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