Sbane
sbane
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Posts: 15,303
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« on: December 09, 2012, 09:03:05 AM » |
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If Obama leaves with even a 45-50% approval rating, Hillary wins. Remember, these same people who won't vote for Obama but will vote for other Democrats (hmm, I wonder why) are also not going to approve of Obama in polls. Hillary will likely lose some support with Blacks, mostly in turnout. I wouldn't be surprised if they went down to 11-12% of the electorate with about 88-90% voting for Hillary. But the Asian and Hispanic proportion of the electorate will continue to grow and I don't see why Hillary won't get the same huge margins that Obama did.
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