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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: Torie, ON Progressive)
  Voters Somehow Still Trust Gallup More Than Nate Silver
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Author Topic: Voters Somehow Still Trust Gallup More Than Nate Silver  (Read 1272 times)
traininthedistance
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« on: December 05, 2012, 11:25:00 am »

Title says it all:

http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/12/gallup-nate-silver-trust.php?ref=fpb

Good job, America!  Way to pay attention!
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minionofmidas - supplemental forum account
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« Reply #1 on: December 05, 2012, 12:41:13 pm »

What percentage of voters know much about Nate Silver?
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #2 on: December 05, 2012, 12:49:09 pm »

What percentage of voters know much about Nate Silver?

Similarly, what percentage of people don't instantly equate "Gallup" with "good pollster"? It will take a while for that to change.
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Alcon
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« Reply #3 on: December 19, 2012, 12:07:32 am »

I think Morden pointed this out recently, but figures with low name recognition almost inevitably have bizarrely high negatives -- apparently people who lie about recognizing names are more apt to say they have negative views.  No idea why, but obviously happening here.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #4 on: December 20, 2012, 10:50:05 pm »

Also, it would at first seem disingenuous to trust an individual over an organization.
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minionofmidas - supplemental forum account
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« Reply #5 on: December 21, 2012, 06:23:20 am »

Also, it would at first seem disingenuous to trust an individual over an organization.
Really? With no additional information it would be my default instinct to trust the individual.
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Beezer
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« Reply #6 on: December 21, 2012, 01:40:49 pm »

Hmm, as political junkies we may be in a bit of a bubble. I mean how many people who don't really care that much about politics have actually heard of Nate Silver? His name recognition has certainly gone up since Election Day but my guess is most folks heard/read his name once in the immediate aftermath of the election and that was about it. So no surprise then to see them trusting Gallup more.
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jfern
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« Reply #7 on: December 22, 2012, 10:19:40 pm »

What percentage of voters know much about Nate Silver?

That could be less than the 14% who picked him.
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