Romney wins*
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Romney wins*
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Author Topic: Romney wins*  (Read 1569 times)
True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« on: November 08, 2012, 09:20:50 AM »

* If the Electoral College were decided based on each State's House delegation that is:



Arizona right now has two seats uncalled, with the GOP leading 4-3.

The EV under this model (with delegations in parentheses) is:
Romney/Ryan - 283 (28)
Obama/Biden - 215 (18)
tied - 26 (3)
uncalled - 11 (1)
DC - 3

The disconnect between the House delegation and the Presidential vote is really striking in Pennsylvania and to a lesser extent Wisconsin, Michigan, and New Jersey.
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memphis
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« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2012, 10:17:38 AM »

The GOP is very good at gerrymandering, isn't it?
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politicallefty
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« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2012, 12:37:39 PM »

It's not just that they're good, but they were able to do it in a lot of states that have a lot of seats.
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rttinker
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« Reply #3 on: December 01, 2012, 11:27:37 AM »

So good, in fact, that the current HOR breakdown (Rep. 234, Dem. 201) resulted from the nationally-aggregated congressional vote of Rep. 57.8 million [48.2%], Dem. 58.7 million [49.0%]. First time since the 1950's that the party receiving the most votes was not the party that controlled the House. These numbers come from Wasserman.
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You kip if you want to...
change08
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« Reply #4 on: December 01, 2012, 12:10:59 PM »

So good, in fact, that the current HOR breakdown (Rep. 234, Dem. 201) resulted from the nationally-aggregated congressional vote of Rep. 57.8 million [48.2%], Dem. 58.7 million [49.0%]. First time since the 1950's that the party receiving the most votes was not the party that controlled the House. These numbers come from Wasserman.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_1996
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rttinker
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« Reply #5 on: December 01, 2012, 01:44:12 PM »

Now that i think about it, this might be the second time since the fifties that the HOR controlling party lost the popular vote. OOPS. 
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Blackacre
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« Reply #6 on: December 04, 2012, 04:19:15 PM »

This is why I hate gerrymandering
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