America is trending Republican (or so this idiot thinks) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 12:26:00 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 15 Down, 35 To Go)
  America is trending Republican (or so this idiot thinks) (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: America is trending Republican (or so this idiot thinks)  (Read 3864 times)
hopper
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,414
United States


« on: December 05, 2012, 08:23:52 PM »
« edited: December 05, 2012, 08:26:56 PM by hopper »

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/11/28/forget-2012-long-term-demographic-trends-favorable-to-republicans.html

I've read several of his articles and Nate Silver could probably tear him to shreads but he's forgetting that those in their early 20s in 2008 (like me) will still likely vote Democratic even at later ages. The idea that young Obama voters are poised to start going to church and bible thumping is backed up by zero facts.

Michael Medved has got rocks.

He ignores that the voters born in the 1980s and early 1990s are already much more liberal than older generations on economics and social issues. They are fleeing the Religious Right, one of the most reliable constituencies for the GOP since the early 1980s. They are heavily in debt for student loans and are underearning for their abilities -- both tendencies tending to push people to vote for the more left-wing politicians. Their idea of a Republican President is the awful George W. Bush. Barack Obama is by every non-ideological criterion a far-better President.

As voters age they increasingly identify with institutions, but what institutions will they trust? Giant corporations that underpay them and offer no security? Predatory lenders? The Religious Right? It is more likely that they will identify with the political causes that they know in youth. Significantly some of  the young volunteers for Obama are likely to grow into political careers -- and the vast majority of them will be elected as Democrats. The McCain and Romney campaigns did little to attract youth. When people's buddies start running for elective office, guess how people are going to vote.

Republicans need to ask themselves what they have to offer younger voters. Enrichment and pampering of elites is one of the most indirect and inefficient means of creating widespread prosperity. Educated rationalists have little use for the superstitious pablum that the Republicans offer to the Religious Right.  

  
Thats the problem Generation Yers think of George W. Bush as an example of  Republican Governance and the Republican name is tarred because of that. Obama is non-idealogical? Makes me smirk that statement.

Giant Corporations that underpay? No boss wants to give a raise on the fly in my opinion. he Predatory Lending-You should know what you are getting into. Your fault nobody else's.

I do agree though on your last point that the Religious Right can't be the GOP's only base anymore because  its to small of a base now. Its like a failed business model.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 12 queries.