New Hampshire is slightly more surprising, because Mitt was the best fit there of any of his home states. I think this is more a matter of the state just trending D. If you look at the rural areas in the western half of the state (NH-02), they are moving like Vermont did last decade. Mitt did well in wealthy suburban areas, but "East Vermont" was just too much to overcome. I think you will see Republican nominees increasingly ignore NH from this point on. It's small, out of the way and an increasingly tough nut to crack even with the right type of nominee.
So... why is Atlas falling for the "NH is a pure Tossup" thing again?
I mean, no one really gives a shlt but you, bro.
