Vote counting update thread

[AndyAJS]

Obama's vote in Missouri just fell by 60,000 while Romney's vote remained the same.

I think someone has been pressing the wrong buttons: [see official Missouri elections result page. I can't link to it].

Obama was previously on 1,215,418. Now he's on 1,155,736.

[DINGO Joe]

Obama's vote in Missouri just fell by 60,000 while Romney's vote remained the same.

I think someone has been pressing the wrong buttons: [see official Missouri elections result page. I can't link to it].

Obama was previously on 1,215,418. Now he's on 1,155,736.

They somehow botched Jackson County results

Obama had 78000+ votes in Jackson not 18000+

[dspNY]

Obama's margin of victory in Colorado (now 5.17%) is greater than his margin in PA (5.02%). This means that at this point, Pennsylvania was the tipping point state (that gave Obama his 270th electoral vote).

That means the tipping point in this election was a state that the Republicans haven't won for President since the 1980s, one of the Kerry states, and a state where the Dems have a registration advantage of over 1 million

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

No, Pennsylvania! D:

[AndyAJS]

Obama's vote in Missouri just fell by 60,000 while Romney's vote remained the same.

I think someone has been pressing the wrong buttons: [see official Missouri elections result page. I can't link to it].

Obama was previously on 1,215,418. Now he's on 1,155,736.

They somehow botched Jackson County results

Obama had 78000+ votes in Jackson not 18000+

Thanks for pointing that out - although that doesn't quite add up either because Obama went down by about 60,000 and the error in Jackson County was about 100,000. ..

[Antonio the Sixth]

No, Pennsylvania! D:

Any news of uncounted ballots there? The total vote tallied so far is 6% less than the 2008 vote.

[Benj]

Obama's margin of victory in Colorado (now 5.17%) is greater than his margin in PA (5.02%). This means that at this point, Pennsylvania was the tipping point state (that gave Obama his 270th electoral vote).

That means the tipping point in this election was a state that the Republicans haven't won for President since the 1980s, one of the Kerry states, and a state where the Dems have a registration advantage of over 1 million

Pennsylvania is one of the three swing states with a bunch of ballots still uncounted (along with Ohio and Michigan), so this may change back. (At least, turnout is way down in those three states from 2008, while it's not down in any other swing state.)

[Franzl]

Imagine the chaos if this election were actually close...

[DINGO Joe]

Obama's vote in Missouri just fell by 60,000 while Romney's vote remained the same.

I think someone has been pressing the wrong buttons: [see official Missouri elections result page. I can't link to it].

Obama was previously on 1,215,418. Now he's on 1,155,736.

They somehow botched Jackson County results

Obama had 78000+ votes in Jackson not 18000+

Thanks for pointing that out - although that doesn't quite add up either because Obama went down by about 60,000 and the error in Jackson County was about 100,000. ..

For whatever reason Missouri reports vote totals for Kansas City and Jackson county separately.  Dave has them together.   

[badgate]

RE: Pennsylvania as the tipping state, does the role of "tipping state" indicate how the state's population will vote in the future or something?

[DINGO Joe]

Obama's margin of victory in Colorado (now 5.17%) is greater than his margin in PA (5.02%). This means that at this point, Pennsylvania was the tipping point state (that gave Obama his 270th electoral vote).

That means the tipping point in this election was a state that the Republicans haven't won for President since the 1980s, one of the Kerry states, and a state where the Dems have a registration advantage of over 1 million

Pennsylvania is one of the three swing states with a bunch of ballots still uncounted (along with Ohio and Michigan), so this may change back. (At least, turnout is way down in those three states from 2008, while it's not down in any other swing state.)

I know New York and NJ  had turnout hurt by Sandy, but NY will still have 500,000 or so more votes in their final canvas.  I have no idea about NJ.  

Not sure if Penn and Mich have many ballots to report,  to the extent that they were swing states, they were Hail Mary swing states.

WV had a horrible turnout too, granted it wasn't a swing state, but it arguable is in the most desperate shape of any state given it's reliance on the coal industry (not that Romney would have really done anything to help them).

[Tender Branson]

Folks, just lean back and chill for the next 3 weeks until all the states have certified their results by Mid-December and we'll know the real numbers.

(Well maybe not until next year, if states like New York find thousands of uncounted ballots in warehouses and include them into the final total by summer of next year, like it happened in 2008 ... )

[Tender Branson]

Folks, just lean back and chill for the next 3 weeks until all the states have certified their results by Mid-December and we'll know the real numbers.

(Well maybe not until next year, if states like New York find thousands of uncounted ballots in warehouses and include them into the final total by summer of next year, like it happened in 2008 ... )

Link:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=93787.0

[Antonio the Sixth]

Folks, just lean back and chill for the next 3 weeks until all the states have certified their results by Mid-December and we'll know the real numbers.

(Well maybe not until next year, if states like New York find thousands of uncounted ballots in warehouses and include them into the final total by summer of next year, like it happened in 2008 ... )

Link:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=93787.0

EPIC FAIL

[Tender Branson]

BTW, here are the certification dates for most of the states:

http://www.nass.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=342%3Astate-election-results-reporting&catid=928%3Auncategorized-elections-voting&Itemid=391

[Eraserhead]

New York could still swing to Obama too! It's so close!

[Antonio the Sixth]

Thank you Tender, very useful info. So, nearly half States won't certify before December? That's so pathetic.

Anyways, you know, we political junkies like to stay tuned on every single development. So even if the final results will come in late, following the day-to-day updates is still interesting.

[AndyAJS]

I've just put together a spreadsheet featuring the latest results from Illinois with links to the county websites. Unfortunately I can't link to it because I haven't made 20 posts.

The spreadsheet is giving the following result for Illinois:

Obama: 3,007,392 (57.48%)
Romney: 2,131,304 (40.73%)
Johnson: 55,990 (1.07%)
Stein: 32,331 (0.62%)
Goode: 101 (0.00%)
Anderson: 13 (0.00%)
Others: 5,179 (0.10%)

Total: 5,232,310

Edit: I've put the link in my signature below.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Where's Ohio?

[Franzl]

Where's Ohio?

Between Indiana and Pennsylvania.

[DINGO Joe]

Some of the Ohio counties have started posting their final results.  Not sure if it'll be indicative of the whole state but Butler Co went from 62.43-36.20 Romney election night to 61.68-36.58 in final results  (final results include write ins)

In relative small Pike county Obama trailed by 45 votes on election night and in the official count he lost by one vote, better than 2008 when Obama lost it by 129 votes in 2008

[dspNY]

Some of the Ohio counties have started posting their final results.  Not sure if it'll be indicative of the whole state but Butler Co went from 62.43-36.20 Romney election night to 61.68-36.58 in final results  (final results include write ins)

In relative small Pike county Obama trailed by 45 votes on election night and in the official count he lost by one vote, better than 2008 when Obama lost it by 129 votes in 2008

Obama lost Pike County OH by one vote? That has to be the closest county in the country

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Some of the Ohio counties have started posting their final results.  Not sure if it'll be indicative of the whole state but Butler Co went from 62.43-36.20 Romney election night to 61.68-36.58 in final results  (final results include write ins)

In relative small Pike county Obama trailed by 45 votes on election night and in the official count he lost by one vote, better than 2008 when Obama lost it by 129 votes in 2008

Obama lost Pike County OH by one vote? That has to be the closest county in the country

There was a county in Texas where he lost by one vote as well.

[Eraserhead]

So turnout isn't going to end up being down very much from '08 after all, eh?

And Romney's gonna end up losing by close to 4%. Not exactly a very close election then, even going by just the PV.

[DINGO Joe]

Looks like Obama will crack 65 million and will win by about 4.5 million votes.

State by state turnout looks like it'll be all over the place