LA-03 Runoff
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Author Topic: LA-03 Runoff  (Read 3467 times)
smoltchanov
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« Reply #25 on: December 07, 2012, 01:15:02 AM »
Quote from: I <3 WV on December 06, 2012, 05:24:09 PM
I like Cassidy, I'd happily support him.

I, naturally - never)))
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Meeker
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« Reply #26 on: December 07, 2012, 02:48:24 AM »
« Edited: December 07, 2012, 02:57:39 AM by Meeker »
Early voting turnout for the November 6th election was 53,345; early voting turnout for Saturday ended up at 16,970. Projecting from that, turnout will probably be about 20%.

Early voting demographics in Lafayette Parish have gone from 73% white for 11/6 to 90% white for Saturday.

ETA: Calcasieu Parish (Lake Charles) moved from 75% white to 92% white.
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Miles
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« Reply #27 on: December 08, 2012, 01:09:22 PM »
Well, the election is today. Predictions? I'll go with 60/40 Boustany.
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #28 on: December 08, 2012, 01:24:05 PM »
64-36% Boustany
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #29 on: December 08, 2012, 01:26:00 PM »
59-41% Boustany
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Meeker
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« Reply #30 on: December 08, 2012, 02:20:46 PM »
Anywhere from a 12-20 point Boustany victory seems plausible, probably towards the upper end of that.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #31 on: December 08, 2012, 04:21:32 PM »
I'm going to go with a Landry win between 0 and 8 points, just to offer some contrast to other predictions.
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Meeker
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« Reply #32 on: December 08, 2012, 09:08:54 PM »
Boustany is winning 75%+ of the early vote in his old CD; Landry is only winning 60-40 so far in his old CD. Boustany landslide.
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Miles
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« Reply #33 on: December 08, 2012, 09:32:25 PM »
With 3% in, its 61/39 Boustany.
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Meeker
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« Reply #34 on: December 08, 2012, 09:35:42 PM »
Lake Charles isn't on the SoS website yet but it went 79-21 for Boustany in the early vote.
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Miles
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« Reply #35 on: December 08, 2012, 09:46:02 PM »
Landry is only getting 65-66% in his parishes. Not nearly enough for him to be competitive.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #36 on: December 08, 2012, 09:47:22 PM »
Quote from: MilesC56 on December 08, 2012, 09:46:02 PM
Landry is only getting 65-66% in his parishes.

Oooh arrrrr

('parishes', lol)
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Meeker
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« Reply #37 on: December 08, 2012, 09:54:29 PM »
Boustany won the early vote 64-36 overall.
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Meeker
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« Reply #38 on: December 08, 2012, 10:00:27 PM »
To no one's surprise, AP calls it for Boustany.
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Miles
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« Reply #39 on: December 08, 2012, 10:01:40 PM »
94% of Lafayette is still out; Boustany should crack 60% pretty easily when that comes in.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #40 on: December 08, 2012, 10:29:41 PM »
Glad it's over, since I kept getting ads for the race though I'm about 100 miles from the nearest edge of the district.

If the purpose of a jungle primary is to create more moderate candidates by making them compete for the whole electorate, then the runoff should coincide with the general election when the general electorate participates, instead of the fraction that shows up for this.
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Miles
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« Reply #41 on: December 08, 2012, 10:40:29 PM »
Quote from: dingojoe on December 08, 2012, 10:29:41 PM
Glad it's over, since I kept getting ads for the race though I'm about 100 miles from the nearest edge of the district.


Yes, me too. I'm so sick of seeing the online ads from "Pirate Jeff Landry" and the "Bailout Boustany."
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #42 on: December 08, 2012, 10:42:52 PM »
The 2012 elections conclude!
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Miles
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« Reply #43 on: December 08, 2012, 11:03:35 PM »
'Looks like it ended up something like this:
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Meeker
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« Reply #44 on: December 08, 2012, 11:41:16 PM »
Turnout was 19%.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #45 on: December 08, 2012, 11:46:07 PM »

What percentage of people in that district even knew about the election?
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Miles
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« Reply #46 on: December 09, 2012, 12:26:16 AM »
Quote from: Senator Snowstalker on December 08, 2012, 11:46:07 PM

What percentage of people in that district even knew about the election?

The race got a good amount of coverage in the local papers, even the Baton Rouge area.
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Miles
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« Reply #47 on: December 12, 2012, 11:39:33 AM »
The map Smiley
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #48 on: December 12, 2012, 11:40:48 AM »
Cute map.
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Miles
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« Reply #49 on: December 12, 2012, 09:50:32 PM »


'Pretty much like the runoff except with lighter shades and Democratic precincts.
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