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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: Torie, ON Progressive)
  Broken county streaks
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Author Topic: Broken county streaks  (Read 1474 times)
Ebowed
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« on: November 07, 2012, 05:59:51 am »

Most obvious one I can find so far is Jackson, TN.  Elliott, KY remained Democratic but only with a plurality (Obama still managed over 60% in 2008). 

I'm pretty sure that a trio of counties in Southeast Ohio have voted Democratic since 1972 until this election - this would go for many of the counties in West Virginia that Obama won in 2008.

Another thing I found is that Niagara, NY and Monroe, FL have both had Democratic victories under 50% for three elections in a row.
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Ebowed
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2012, 06:03:46 am »

Also,  Broomfield CO retains its bellwether status, accurately predicting the Colorado and national winner in every election. Wink
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #2 on: November 11, 2012, 03:35:34 pm »

As does Vigo County (Terre Haute) IN, and reasonably close to the national average as always to boot.
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Dr. RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #3 on: November 11, 2012, 04:21:44 pm »

Last time voting Dem before 2012 for the McCain/Obama counties:

Barbour, AL - 2000
Conecuh, AL - 2000
Franklin, KY - 2000
Staten Island, NY - 2000
Early, GA - 1996
Woodbury, IA - 1996 (Romney may end up winning this county; he is on Politico)
Darlington, SC - 1996
Nash, NC - 1976
Chaffee, CO - 1964
Warren, MS - 1960 (though voted for Wallace in 1968)
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Dr. RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #4 on: November 11, 2012, 04:36:22 pm »

Last time voting GOP before 2012 for select Obama/Romney counties:

Big Stone, MN - 1980
Monroe, OH - 1980
Pine, MN - 1972
Belmont, OH - 1972
Jefferson, OH - 1972
Kenedy, TX - 1972
Braxton, WV - 1972
Marion, WV - 1972
McDowell, WV - 1972
Webster, WV - 1972
Houston, TN - 1928 (though voted for Wallace in 1968)
Jackson, TN - 1920
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mileslunn
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« Reply #5 on: November 18, 2012, 10:35:06 pm »

I think the two rural counties in Middle Tennessee which went for Obama in 2008 I believe went GOP for the first time in a long time if ever.  Also Chataqua County, New York didn't back the winner for the first time since 1952.
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GMantis
Dessie Potter
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« Reply #6 on: November 19, 2012, 05:16:19 pm »

I think the two rural counties in Middle Tennessee which went for Obama in 2008 I believe went GOP for the first time in a long time if ever.  Also Chataqua County, New York didn't back the winner for the first time since 1952.
These are Houston and Jackson.
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