Alaska Results Map by House District (user search)
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Author Topic: Alaska Results Map by House District  (Read 17810 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: December 06, 2012, 06:54:27 PM »

It should be noted that with final results, the difference in swing gets slightly smaller than it was on election day. There is a reason for this. As a general rule in urban Alaska, absentee votes tilt Republican and early and provisional (Alaska calls them "question") votes lean Democratic. By contrast in rural Alaska, absentee votes lean Republican, provisional votes tilt Democratic and early votes don't exist. (Alaska has only a handful of early voting locations, located in populated parts, but which stock ballots for all districts. So the bush districts have just a couple of early votes each, presumably cast mostly by people now residing in the cities but still registered back home.)

Here is a table with results by Borough / Census Area. Precincts cutting across a boundary (about half a dozen of them) have been assigned to the Borough / Census Area including the precinct's main settlement. Absentee, question and early votes from House Districts including part of more than one Borough or CA (6, 11, and 32 through 40. 1 to 5 are in Fairbanks, 7 to 10 are in MatSu, 12 through 27 are in Anchorage, 28 to 30 are in the Kenai Pen and 31 is in Juneau) have been assigned on the principle that Obama, Romney, and Johnson/Stein/write-ins combined received the same share of the district's a/q/e vote in each Borough or part of Borough as they received of the day vote. This works very well in most areas but obviously misleads in a few cases where a HD includes areas with differing day vs absentee vs early (vs overall) turnout patterns - though not by enough to make me adopt a different scheme. Especially as correcting for that without hard data on how many people from each precinct got an a/q/e ballot would require fuzzy maths / pulling numbers out of my ass.

Ketchikan Gateway Romney 55.3, Obama 38.3
Prince of Wales - Hyder CA Obama 50.2, Romney 43.7
Wrangell Romney 64.7, Obama 31.8
Petersburg Obama 48.2, Romney 47.2
Sitka Obama 53.0, Romney 41.5
Juneau Obama 57.4, Romney 37.9
Hoonah - Angoon CA Obama 59.3, Romney 36.1
Skagway Obama 58.1, Romney 30.7

Haines Romney 47.8, Obama 45.4
Yakutat Obama 56.0, Romney 40.1
Valdez - Cordova CA Romney 58.0, Obama 36.4
Kenai Peninsula Romney 66.0 Obama 29.7
Anchorage Romney 53.0 Obama 43.2
Matanuska-Susitna Romney 71.2 Obama 24.5
Denali Romney 51.6 Obama 43.8
Southeast Fairbanks CA Romney 72.9 Obama 21.9
Fairbanks North Star Romney 58.6 Obama 36.3

Yukon - Koyukuk CA Obama 61.6 Romney 34.0
Kodiak Island Romney 57.0 Obama 38.8
Lake and Peninsula Obama 56.6 Romney 38.8
Aleutians East Romney 53.4 Obama 42.5
Aleutians West CA Obama 62.7 Romney 34.4
Bristol Bay Romney 59.8 Obama 34.2
Dillingham CA Obama 58.7 Romney 36.4
Bethel CA Obama 71.6 Romney 23.5
Wade Hampton CA Obama 77.5 Romney 16.9
Nome CA Obama 63.8 Romney 30.6
Northwest Arctic Obama 64.0 Romney 31.8
North Slope Obama 64.3 Romney 31.9


And a quick lazy map



One further note: Not only were two new Boroughs created in 2008 (Wrangell and Skagway), the next one is being voted on (which will be just a formality) in December - Petersburg. And after that, annexation of the uninhabited (but touristically used) sliver of unincorporated borough between it and Juneau to Juneau will be just a formality (Juneau wanted to annex even more territory, that is now going to Petersburg instead.) I couldn't find information on what the Census Bureau is intending to do with Kake and Port Alexander, the last remaining populated bits of the former Wrangell-Petersburg Census Area in the Unincorporated Borough. Kake (a Native settlement) is the reason Petersburg is shown in pale red rather than light blue here, though.

That's awesome Lewis! Smiley Do you have the borough results for 2008 as well?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: December 08, 2012, 03:45:19 PM »

Thank you! Smiley This is gonna help me out in a project I have. Wink
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