The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[J. J.]

Gallup  http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  52, -1

Disapprove: 43, +2


Gallup is, well, Gallup.

[Tender Branson]

South Carolina (Winthrop University):

All Adults:

48% Approve
41% Disapprove

Registered Voters:

43% Approve
49% Disapprove

Those who voted in the 2012 general election:

43% Approve
52% Disapprove

http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll/default.aspx?id=9804&ekmensel=fee512e3_566_0_9804_3

[Tender Branson]

SC unregistered voters must be quite Obama-loving.

Considering that there were about 2.88 Mio. registered voters out of 3.49 Mio. people aged 18+, who are also citizens.

Which further means that there were 610.000 unregistered adult citizens.

Based on the sample, unregistered voters have to approve of Obama by 72-3, with 25% undecided to get an adult 48-41 approval.

My math:

Adult sample: 929 (48% approve (446), 41% disapprove (381), 102 undecided)

RV sample: 767 (43% approve (330), 49% disapprove (376), 61 undecided)

Difference: 162, 116 who approve and 5 who disapprove and 41 undecided

72% approve, 3% disapprove and 25% are undecided.

[Tender Branson]

IL (PPP):

57-41 approve

NJ (PPP):

59-38 approve

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_ILNJ_120512.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Quinnipiac National Poll:

53-40 approve

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=1821

[J. J.]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Approve:  54, -1

Disapprove:  45 +1

Strongly Approve:  30, -1

Strongly Disapprove:  33, +1

[J. J.]

Gallup  http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  50, --2

Disapprove: 44, +1

[Tender Branson]

AP-GfK:

57-41 approve

http://surveys.ap.org/data/GfK/AP-GfK%20Poll%20November%202012%20Final%20Topline_POLITICS.pdf

Allstate/National Journal:

54-42 approve

http://www.allstate.com/Allstate/content/refresh-attachments/Heartland_Monitor_XV_Data.pdf

Zogby:

53-45 approve

http://www.jzanalytics.com

Georgia (PPP):

46-52 disapprove

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_GA_120512.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Oregon (PPP):

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 55%
Disapprove...................................................... 42%

PPP surveyed 614 Oregon voters from December 3rd to 5th. The margin of error for the
survey is +/-4.0%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political
organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_OR_12712.pdf

[J. J.]

Gallup  http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  49, -1

Disapprove: 44, u



[Yesterday's Gallup]

[J. J.]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

12/7/12:

Approve:  53, -1

Disapprove:  46 +1

Strongly Approve:  31, +1

Strongly Disapprove:  35, +2


12/8/12:

Approve:  56, +3

Disapprove:  43 -3

Strongly Approve:  32, +1

Strongly Disapprove:  35, u

My guess is that a bad sample dropped. 

[pbrower2a]

Color-coded by state:

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (30% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
40-44% blue
under 40% deep blue

Polls only from after the 2012 election. see this thread

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=post;topic=166014.0;num_replies=5
for posts related to this one.

[J. J.]

Gallup  http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  50, +1

Disapprove: 43, -1

[HagridOfTheDeep]

I guess there's an artificial post-election glow. Because I approve of him even less than I did before after seeing the way he's handling these fiscal cliff "negotiations."

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I guess there's an artificial post-election glow. Because I approve of him even less than I did before after seeing the way he's handling these fiscal cliff "negotiations."

Not trying to denigrate your opinion on that subject, but it doesn't currently seem to be a common one.

[Tender Branson]

Rasmussen - Monday, December 10, 2012:

58% Approve (+2)
41% Disapprove  (-2)

This is the president's highest rating since the first few months of his time in office.

Today’s figures include 33% who Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president and 33% who Strongly Disapprove.

Today marks the first time since July 2009 that the number of voters who Strongly Approve has matched the number who Strongly Disapprove.

Gallup - Monday, December 10, 2012:

51% Approve (+1)
43% Disapprove  (-1)

[Lief 🗽]

Damn, those Rasmussen numbers...

[J. J.]

Rasmussen - Monday, December 10, 2012:

58% Approve (+2)
41% Disapprove  (-2)

This is the president's highest rating since the first few months of his time in office.

Today’s figures include 33% who Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president and 33% who Strongly Disapprove.

Today marks the first time since July 2009 that the number of voters who Strongly Approve has matched the number who Strongly Disapprove.

Gallup - Monday, December 10, 2012:

51% Approve (+1)
43% Disapprove  (-1)

Thanks, I was out most of the day.

I don't think Obama was on the Rasmussen break even point since June 2009.

[King]

Damn, those Rasmussen numbers...

Clearly the Bradley Effect was people disapproving of Obama before the election because they thought they were supposed to do so.

[Tender Branson]

OH (Quinnipiac):

54-42 approve

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/ohio/release-detail?ReleaseID=1822

SC (PPP):

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 44%
Disapprove...................................................... 53%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_SC_1211.pdf

[Tender Branson]

NY (Quinnipiac):

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

62-35 approve

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=1824

[pbrower2a]

President Obama doing fine in Ohio and really well in New York (Q):

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (30% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
40-44% blue
under 40% deep blue

Polls only from after the 2012 election. see this thread

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=post;topic=166014.0;num_replies=5
for posts related to this one.

[Tender Branson]

pbrower, you forgot to include PA in your map. It's on page 2 of this thread. The result was 52-45 approve by Quinnipiac.

[J. J.]

12/11/12

Gallup  http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  53, +2

Disapprove: 40, -3

[J. J.]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Approve:  55, -1

Disapprove:  44 +1

Strongly Approve:  34, +1

Strongly Disapprove:  35, u

The numbers from the weekend appear to be a bad sample.