2012 House Results/Discussion thread

[Miles]

By request, here is the rest of AR:

CD1


Crawford (R)- 56.3%
Ellington (D)- 39.1%

CD2


Griffin (R)- 55.2%
Rule (D)- 39.5%

CD3


Womack (R)- 75.9%
Third Parties- 24.1%


The statewide picture:

[Tokugawa Sexgod Ieyasu]

Northwestern Arkansas seems like an absolutely awful place, politically.

[Miles]

Northwestern Arkansas seems like an absolutely awful place, politically.

Its like eastern TN; a region in the south that has historically had a proclivity to favor the Republicans.

Bill Clinton couldn't even win when he ran for Congress in CD3...

[Joe Kakistocracy]

Why has it shrunk in geographical size so much since redistricting?  I don't see how it can be smaller than the Little Rock district.

[Miles]

Why has it shrunk in geographical size so much since redistricting?  I don't see how it can be smaller than the Little Rock district.

CD3 had the state's fastest growing counties (Benton and Washington). The fastest-growing counties in CD2 (Saline and Faulker) are still less than half the population of Benton and Washington :

[adma]

Northwestern Arkansas seems like an absolutely awful place, politically.

Its like eastern TN; a region in the south that has historically had a proclivity to favor the Republicans.

Bill Clinton couldn't even win when he ran for Congress in CD3...

Also keep in mind the shorthand on the map: "third parties" as opposed to "D".  i.e. the R was practically unopposed.

Though in a funny way, I can see Benton/Washington swinging *toward* the Dems as it, uh, "cosmopolitanizes"...

[Miles]

TN-04



Despite his flaws, DesJarlais won 56/44. Most notable here was Rutherford county, the most populous county in the district; though Romney won it 62/37, Stewart kept DesJarlais to a close 52/48.

[falling apart like the ashes of American flags]

Here's all races in Minnesota:

[Joe Kakistocracy]

Why has it shrunk in geographical size so much since redistricting?  I don't see how it can be smaller than the Little Rock district.

CD3 had the state's fastest growing counties (Benton and Washington). The fastest-growing counties in CD2 (Saline and Faulker) are still less than half the population of Benton and Washington :

Thanks.  Okay, but why?  What is it about those towns that's bringing so many people in all of a sudden?

[Nhoj]

Why has it shrunk in geographical size so much since redistricting?  I don't see how it can be smaller than the Little Rock district.

CD3 had the state's fastest growing counties (Benton and Washington). The fastest-growing counties in CD2 (Saline and Faulker) are still less than half the population of Benton and Washington :

Thanks.  Okay, but why?  What is it about those towns that's bringing so many people in all of a sudden?

its where Walmart is based out of.

[minionofmidas]

Here's all races in Minnesota:

This would be a hilariously pretty map without those four counties in the southwest corner.

[Joe Kakistocracy]

Why has it shrunk in geographical size so much since redistricting?  I don't see how it can be smaller than the Little Rock district.

CD3 had the state's fastest growing counties (Benton and Washington). The fastest-growing counties in CD2 (Saline and Faulker) are still less than half the population of Benton and Washington :

Thanks.  Okay, but why?  What is it about those towns that's bringing so many people in all of a sudden?

its where Walmart is based out of.

Ugh, well that says a lot about America.

[Miles]

Though its been called, CO-06 has narrowed a bit since election night.

Miklosi finished only 2 points behind Coffman. The Dems will probably be at a steeper disadvantage here in 2014 though, due to lack of Presidential turnout.

[Sbane]

Though its been called, CO-06 has narrowed a bit since election night.

Miklosi finished only 2 points behind Coffman. The Dems will probably be at a steeper disadvantage here in 2014 though, due to lack of Presidential turnout.

Definitely a target for the future, especially if Coffman decides to run for statewide office (and he would likely win).

[Miles]

OK-02



Wallace only lost by 19 (instead of the 36 Obama lost by) and he still didn't carry any counties.

The county that Wallace did best relative to Obama was Le Flore (a 4 point loss vs. a 41 point loss a the top of the ticket).

[minionofmidas]

OK-02



Wallace only lost by 19 (instead of the 36 Obama lost by) and he still didn't carry any counties.

Wow, hilarious.

Where did Mullin run best relative to Romney? Looks like that would be somewhere in the Northeast corner of the state.

[Miles]

From what I can tell, its was Adair, along the northern AR border; Mullen only did 3 points worse than Romney there.

[Vosem]

Obviously this would be a tremendous undertaking, and it's quite presumptuous of me to ask for it considering my map-making skills are atrocious, but I would love to see a nationwide county map of House elections. That seems like it would be really interesting...

[Gass3268]

Obviously this would be a tremendous undertaking, and it's quite presumptuous of me to ask for it considering my map-making skills are atrocious, but I would love to see a nationwide county map of House elections. That seems like it would be really interesting...

This would be awesome!

[bore]

The MSNBC results page has a breakdown of each house result by county, although it may not be fully updated: http://elections.msnbc.msn.com/ns/politics/2012/all#.ULu3MYNSh65

[nclib]

With McIntyre winning NC-7 and LA-3 to be GOP in the run-off, the tally is R 234 - D 201. What is the net gain for the Dems--CNN.com has the old breakdown R 240 - D 190, but what parties were the 5 vacancies. (In any case, it will be between D +6 and D +11.)

[Lief 🗽]

The breakdown before the election was 240 R, 190 D with 5 vacancies. Those vacancies were 3 Democrat-held seats (NJ-10, WA-01, CA-18) and 2 Republican held seats (MI-11, KY-04), so I guess you could say the breakdown really was 242 R, 193 D. So the Democratic gain was +8.

[Miles]

DKE crunched UT.

UT-04 is the reddest district held by a Democrat at 67/30 Romney. WV-03 is second at 65/33.

[krazen1211]

Those 2 Utah districts look like the reddest in the nation? Romney seems to have hit 77% in TX-08.

[smoltchanov]

Those 2 Utah districts look like the reddest in the nation? Romney seems to have hit 77% in TX-08.

Reddest in the nation held by Democrat. TX-08 didn't elected Democrat for House))