Ironic result in Ohio
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Ironic result in Ohio
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Author Topic: Ironic result in Ohio  (Read 1480 times)
GMantis
Dessie Potter
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 07, 2012, 07:50:56 AM »

After it was conventional wisdom for months that Romney's weak position in Ohio was likely to doom his chances, it seems now that Obama's margin in Ohio is a bit smaller (but this could increase, depending on results on the Western Coast) than his national margin of victory. In fact, Ohio it's the only state where the RCP polling average was more Democratic than the actual result. Any explanations?
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Franzl
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2012, 04:06:36 PM »

After it was conventional wisdom for months that Romney's weak position in Ohio was likely to doom his chances, it seems now that Obama's margin in Ohio is a bit smaller (but this could increase, depending on results on the Western Coast) than his national margin of victory. In fact, Ohio it's the only state where the RCP polling average was more Democratic than the actual result. Any explanations?

Obama is still going to gain a bit in Ohio. There's something like 200,000 provisional ballots left to count (Ohio won't count them until 10 days after the election), and they will likely be relatively strong for Obama.
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2012, 10:06:54 AM »

On a related note, preliminary results (per atlas) show a swing to obama in severl southern 'strickland country' counties like ross, pike and. Scioto.
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