IA:PPP: Obama 50- Romney 48 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 03:11:22 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  IA:PPP: Obama 50- Romney 48 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: IA:PPP: Obama 50- Romney 48  (Read 2153 times)
Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344


« on: November 04, 2012, 06:39:31 PM »

Let's face it, there is no polling data that indicates anything but a win for Obama. He is polling better now than Bush was in 2004. He also has a better approval rating. Plus polls indicate the he has 'mo' in the last week. It is possible that Romney would win, but there simply are no precedents in recent presidential polling for it. Of course there can always be a first time, but that is what you are betting on.

Of course in 2004 Dems were also hoping the polls were wrong. They were hoping that LV screens were underestimating Dem turnout, especially non-whites and young voters. This year we are hearing from the Romney pollsters (and conservative pundits) that LV screens are overestimating Dems, especially young voters and non-whites.

We will find out in two days, but (as has been noted), the 'Romney will win' argument is one based on faith, or more to the point, lack of faith in polling.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.016 seconds with 14 queries.