Final wave of YouGov state polls out in the next 24 hours (user search)
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  Final wave of YouGov state polls out in the next 24 hours (search mode)
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Author Topic: Final wave of YouGov state polls out in the next 24 hours  (Read 8990 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: November 04, 2012, 11:50:38 AM »
Overall good for Obama.  Consistent with IA being super close.  PA looks unexpectedly safe in these numbers.  The most interesting thing here is we have yet more evidence that VA is turning left at the last minute.  That was a bit unexpected.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2012, 11:56:56 AM »
Quote from: Senator Franzl on November 04, 2012, 11:53:56 AM
Unless polling is way off, and I see no credible reason why it should be, I don't quite understand how Romney is supposed to win.

A Romney NPV win is certainly within the standard error of the polls.  However, it would be on the strength of TX vs. CA.  For Obama to lose the electoral college, polling averages have to be off by at least 3% at this point, though...
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