TX-University of Texas/Texas Tribune: Romney+16

[Tender Branson]

[Lief 🗽]

Yeah, Romney's not winning the popular vote while losing the electoral college with these numbers.

[Likely Voter]

Surprised it isn't bigger. If the CW is right, Romney is running up big numbers in the south while Obama is holding smaller leads on the coasts...leading to PV/EV split.  Then again TX Dems have been saying that TX will be a swing state in the next decade due to Latinos.

[Skill and Chance]

Surprised it isn't bigger. If the CW is right, Romney is running up big numbers in the south while Obama is holding smaller leads on the coasts...leading to PV/EV split.  Then again TX Dems have been saying that TX will be a swing state in the next decade due to Latinos.

TX demographic change is very overrated.  Republicans have a better appeal to Hispanics there than just about anywhere else in the country.  And the young people moving in are generally taking oil jobs. 

If you want to talk about demographic change swinging elections, GA is far more interesting.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Texas Latinos are more Republican and whiter than in other states. Romney wins here maybe 57-40.

[Ty440]

Texas Latinos are more Republican and whiter than in other states. Romney wins here maybe 57-40.

This:

Huge amount of inter-mixing in Texas where the line between white and Hispanic are often blurred.

[opebo]

If you want to talk about demographic change swinging elections, GA is far more interesting.

Yes, GA becomes a swing state a decade before Texas...

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Surprised it isn't bigger. If the CW is right, Romney is running up big numbers in the south while Obama is holding smaller leads on the coasts...leading to PV/EV split.  Then again TX Dems have been saying that TX will be a swing state in the next decade due to Latinos.

In a way I'm almost hoping for this.  I really want to the South to get egg on it's face by such strident support of Willard Romney. The culture argument can not be made as it was in 2004 and 2008.  Mitt has nothing in common with your average white Southerner, and they are going to back him in historic numbers. 

There will no longer be an excuse from Southern conservatives... you voted on race, twice, and it will be obvious to everybody.