FL Regions: Mason-Dixon I-4 Corridor: Romney +6; Miami-Dade County: Obama +9 (user search)
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  FL Regions: Mason-Dixon I-4 Corridor: Romney +6; Miami-Dade County: Obama +9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL Regions: Mason-Dixon I-4 Corridor: Romney +6; Miami-Dade County: Obama +9  (Read 10783 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« on: October 28, 2012, 01:17:21 AM »
The only issue I have is that Obama lost ground among Latinos, even accounting for Cubans that's an ENORMOUS shift that really isn't being seen anywhere else.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2012, 01:25:38 AM »
Yes outside of M-D, PR's are much more prevalent.

Using 2008 as a baseline, Obama lost Cubans 52-46... so while I understand a drop-off, that 76-19 number is MASSIVE, and eye-brow raising shift. I'd be curious to know the size of the sample and the MoE...

Quote from: Senator North Carolina Yankee on October 28, 2012, 01:24:53 AM
Well Mason Dixon did catch Romney's big win amongst hispanics in the FL primary, unlike PPP which had Gingrich up amongst them.

Yes, which is why I'm taking this seriously, those numbers just make so little sense to me.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2012, 01:36:10 AM »
« Edited: October 28, 2012, 01:42:06 AM by Former President Polnut »
Very well, I don't think that well, but Bush obviously did incredibly well among Latinos overall... for a Republican.

Edit - Bush made up for a drop-off of Cuban support, which was very small, with that increased support for Latinos overall, and won the Latino vote 56-44.

So it's not impossible, but going on demographic shifts I really have issues with that element of the polling.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2012, 02:32:04 PM »
Wow, 2 people turn up and a reasonable discussion degenerates...
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #4 on: November 09, 2012, 08:27:54 AM »
I feel more comfortable about making noise about the Latino breakdown on this one...
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