OH-University of Cincinnati Poll: Tied race, 49-49

[Tender Branson]

Has anyone hunted down any cross-tabs ?

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[cinyc]

Has anyone hunted down any cross-tabs ?

Not crosstabs, but the Cincinnati Enquirer's story has some interesting graphics breaking down the vote.  The sample was 47% Democratic, 44% Republican, 10% Independent.  98% of African-Americans for Obama.  Romney wins whites 55%-43%.

[Eraserhead]

well well well, in the closing days we're now seeing another major surge towards Romney!

I guess the VA Washington Post poll flew right over your head.

Flip VA and Ohio , Romney still loses.

obumma has no chance in virginia, doesn't matter how many D+7 samples they roll out. Romney has won 6 of the last 9 polls in VA and tied in the other 2. Virginia is fools gold. Go ahead and waste resources there while trying desperately trying to save NH. Not gonna happen. This isn't 2008

And how many Ohio polls has Mitt lead in recently?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Here is a novel idea guys: how about following the aggregate instead of freaking out over any individual poll?

[Ljube]

This poll is a joke.

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And they have no idea who the independents favor (from 52-25 Romney to 46-44 Obama - that's crazy). And they underpolled them with a margin of error +/-10%!

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

How about everyone just admit that nobody really knows anything and just enjoy the ride to the end?

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

How about everyone just admit that nobody really knows anything and just enjoy the ride to the end?

Because we have to live in the country whose election this is.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

How about everyone just admit that nobody really knows anything and just enjoy the ride to the end?

Because we have to live in the country whose election this is.

Does that change that polls are all over the place? And that won't change? Nothing we say, nothing we do here will change the outcome.

Don't know why you're getting snippy with me...

[J. J.]

http://www.ohio.com/news/local-news/presidential-race-tied-in-ohio-newspaper-poll-1.345675

Bad news for Obama, this poll is historically one of the best in the state.

That is what everyone has said.  At least in 9 days, we can make some judgments about the polls.  

[opebo]

obumma has no chance in virginia, doesn't matter how many D+7 samples they roll out. Romney has won 6 of the last 9 polls in VA and tied in the other 2. Virginia is fools gold. Go ahead and waste resources there while trying desperately trying to save NH. Not gonna happen. This isn't 2008

No, out of the last 9 polls, your man has won 3, Obama has won 5, and one was a tie: http://www.uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?fips=51

[Niemeyerite]

Dirks saying that Romney has lead in more VA polls than Obama (which is false) and Cliffy saying the party ID of the poll is D+6 when it is D+3 makes me feel comfortable about Obama chances in both states.

Don't be that ridiculous, Romney hacks, please. You're doing no favor to sane republicans in the Forum.

[opebo]

Dirks saying that Romney has lead in more VA polls than Obama (which is false) and Cliffy saying the party ID of the poll is D+6 when it is D+3 makes me feel comfortable about Obama chances in both states.

Don't be that ridiculous, Romney hacks, please. You're doing no favor to sane republicans in the Forum.

To be fair I'm sure they only look at Real Clear Politics, not at the polls actually entered into this forum.  (haha, I just checked, and RCP matched exactly what dirk/cliffy said: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/va/virginia_romney_vs_obama-1774.html#polls

[DemPGH]

We can conclude with the sum of polls that Obama has a small lead here and it is about the ground game. This is yet another one to not show Romney in the lead, and you guys also mention that it's a week old. With close to a quarter of the state already voting, I highly doubt there are blocs of people changing their minds. Conclusion: It's GOTV time.

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

Don't know why you're getting snippy with me...

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So, yeah, sorry about that.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Don't know why you're getting snippy with me...

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So, yeah, sorry about that.

All good

[Mr.Phips]

This poll is a joke.

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And they have no idea who the independents favor (from 52-25 Romney to 46-44 Obama - that's crazy). And they underpolled them with a margin of error +/-10%!

A joke poll that has nailed every election it has ever polled statewide going back to 2004.