How in the world could this happen?!?
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  How in the world could this happen?!?
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Author Topic: How in the world could this happen?!?  (Read 4628 times)
CheeseWhiz
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« on: February 02, 2005, 09:37:19 PM »


This is all of the states' largest landslides combined.  So, tell me, what could make this happen in a US Presidential election?
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Akno21
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« Reply #1 on: February 02, 2005, 09:42:31 PM »

Mass murder in every state.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2005, 10:14:22 AM »

Going back til when?
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skybridge
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« Reply #3 on: February 03, 2005, 10:55:59 AM »

Utah's largest landslide was Democratic?
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The Man From G.O.P.
TJN2024
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« Reply #4 on: February 03, 2005, 03:31:48 PM »


This is all of the states' largest landslides combined.  So, tell me, what could make this happen in a US Presidential election?

nothing could ever make that happen
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ATFFL
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« Reply #5 on: February 03, 2005, 05:49:32 PM »

A massive political realignment along lines we cannot yet imagine.
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True Democrat
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« Reply #6 on: February 03, 2005, 09:23:49 PM »


This is all of the states' largest landslides combined.  So, tell me, what could make this happen in a US Presidential election?

This map is wrong.  Ohio's biggest landslide is Johnson's 1964 election win.  He got over 60% of the vote.
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Rob
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« Reply #7 on: February 03, 2005, 10:08:08 PM »
« Edited: February 03, 2005, 11:15:08 PM by Bob »

Utah's largest landslide was Democratic?

It went 83 percent for William Jennings Bryan in 1896.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #8 on: February 04, 2005, 08:22:17 AM »

Here's a corrected version. I went with winners' % margin, and went back to 1892 (that's because the Atlas' "Compare state data by year" feature only goes back to 1892)

For some reason, it won't display 90%+ percentages. Therefore, and also to be a little easier on the eyes, all the states are one class lower than they should be, ie states in the 80-90 bracket have the 70+ colour etc.
Here's the list of what election provided the largest win, by state:
1892: Florida
1896: New Hampshire, Vermont, Montana, Idaho, Colorado, Utah, Nevada
1904: Minnesota, South Dakota, Oregon
1912: Virginia
1920: New York, New Jersey, Illinois, Wisconsin, Iowa, North Dakota, California
1924: Maine, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan
1928: Delaware, Kansas
1932: Georgia, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Texas, New Mexico
1936: South Carolina, Alabama, Mississippi, Arizona, Washington
1940: North Carolina
1964: Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Maryland, West Virginia, Hawaii
1972: Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Oklahoma
1984: Nebraska, Wyoming, Alaska

As per Ohio: 60% was only cracked twice in that state in the last 112 years, by Hoover and Johnson. Coolidge's MoV was higher than theirs, though, thanks to the split opposition.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #9 on: February 04, 2005, 08:32:35 AM »

Forgot something on that list:
2004 - District of Columbia
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #10 on: February 04, 2005, 09:34:16 AM »

Here's a more realistic one. States' greatest landslide out of the last 12 elections (since 1960). Colours are normal.

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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #11 on: February 04, 2005, 09:36:55 AM »

Alabama is I >60.
Of course, this map looks at first glance totally reasonable and likely - except for the percentages.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #12 on: February 04, 2005, 09:44:00 AM »

Alabama is I >60.
Of course, this map looks at first glance totally reasonable and likely - except for the percentages.

Revenge of the Rust Belt?
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #13 on: February 04, 2005, 10:06:44 AM »

Alabama is I >60.
Of course, this map looks at first glance totally reasonable and likely - except for the percentages.

Revenge of the Rust Belt?
But in that case, why in the heck would Ky. be over 60% Rep?
Maybe both parties campaigned solely on economic issues in the Midwest, solely on social issues in the South?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #14 on: February 04, 2005, 10:17:37 AM »

But in that case, why in the heck would Ky. be over 60% Rep?

Obviously everyone in Eastern Kentucky, Western Kentucky, Louisville and the central Bluegrass region was shot before polling started.

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That's the best explanation methinks
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skybridge
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« Reply #15 on: February 04, 2005, 03:53:02 PM »

Utah's largest landslide was Democratic?

It went 83 percent for William Jennings Bryan in 1896.

Interestingly, percentagewise the ultraliberal Ralph Nader did better in the Mormon state in 2004 than in ultraliberal D.C.
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CheeseWhiz
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« Reply #16 on: February 11, 2005, 09:18:42 AM »

Sorry I didn't respond to this sooner, I'm having loads of trouble with topic reply notifications.

I must have been going with the win margin instead.  I don't know why I was doing that.  Well, thanks for changing it, Lewis.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #17 on: February 11, 2005, 09:49:19 AM »

Sorry I didn't respond to this sooner, I'm having loads of trouble with topic reply notifications.

I must have been going with the win margin instead.  I don't know why I was doing that.  Well, thanks for changing it, Lewis.
No, I went with the win margin too.
Maybe you were a little inconsistent and used win margin in some states, winners' percentage in others. That's the impression I got when I went through the data.
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CheeseWhiz
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« Reply #18 on: February 11, 2005, 10:04:33 AM »

Sorry I didn't respond to this sooner, I'm having loads of trouble with topic reply notifications.

I must have been going with the win margin instead.  I don't know why I was doing that.  Well, thanks for changing it, Lewis.
No, I went with the win margin too.
Maybe you were a little inconsistent and used win margin in some states, winners' percentage in others. That's the impression I got when I went through the data.

Maybe I did.  I did this before I even knew about the forum.
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