TIME Poll Ohio: Obama +5

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Dick Morris wrote yesterday: "This successful debate for Romney will continue his surge in the polls."
LOL

Ah yes... Dick "Arkansas is solid Obama" Morris. 

[Mr.Phips]

Jesus Christ, why does this damn state like Obama so much?  

All you Democrats will really be laughing in 2014 when we fall down to a puny third in the House and fall below 40 in the Senate so President Christie can come in and privitize Social Security and Medicare.

Talk about cutting off your noses to spite your face.  

Whoever wins this election will be welcomed with a booming economy in the next few months.

Yeah, this is a big part of why Phips is ridiculous. If Romney wins he'll be take credit for the recovery and win re-election in a landslide and the Democrats will be shut out of government for a decade. Pretending there's some distinction between the Democratic agenda and Obama's re-election makes no sense at this point.

Democrats are already shut out of the House and most state legislatures for probably two decades because of Obama and his DNC sitting on their hands during the crucial 2010 midterms.  

I wouldn't go quite that far.  Those big elections 2006, 1994, 1946 often do not have lasting effect. 

1994 did.  Republicans held the House for 14 of the 18 years after and that election gave them a seemingly permanent advantage in redistricting.

[Mister Twister]

The states colored blue only give Romney 267. The green represents the Obama firewall and Romney has to take one of them in order to win. Good luck with that! The Obama firewall is an unstoppable creation.

[Likely Voter]

Dick Morris wrote yesterday: "This successful debate for Romney will continue his surge in the polls."
LOL

I think I figured out Dick Morris. He isn't an idiot hack, he is a traveller from a parallel dimension. A mirror universe. In that universe Obama has a goatee and was crushed in the third debate by Romney. It all makes sense now.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

An obviously fake poll.  After all, who reads TIME these days?

[timothyinMD]

party sample D+10 not realistic

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

party sample D+10 not realistic

Are we really doing this? Are we seriously going back to party ID?

[J. J.]

I'm not crazy about Time polls.  Early voting turnout is not consistent with a D+10. 

[Vern]

It's funny, I can see Romney winning WI before OH. Who knew!

[Cliffy]

Lol you guys are naïve. Romney is winning independents by 13 good grief this keeps up Ohio won't be close.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Hey guys... I'm not even going to look at Cliffy's post. 

I'm going with.... D+10 is ridiculous and if only we understood the race like he does,

Bonus: it's not 2008. 



Am I close?

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Damn!  Way off.  Points for unpredictability, Cliffy.  Good show. 

[Seriously?]

party sample D+10 not realistic

Don't let a silly thing like an oversampled poll get in the way of the truth, comrade!

Who cares if the poll shows a larger DEM sample than the 2008 results AND there's ample evidence that the Democrats are lagging behind '08 numbers in early voting? Nothing to see here!

Trust the no-name pollster over reputable establishments like Rasmussen and SUSA. Why? It shows an Obama lead beyond the MOE. That's why.

For the record, Ohio has mirrored the national vote between 0-3% in every election since 1960. And they have gotten it right in every election since 1960. It's slight advantage Romney in the national vote right now.

While it may be slight advantage Obama right now in Ohio, but it's not a five-point lead. If it were, this race wouldn't be contested as brutally as it is right now there.

[Lief 🗽]

party sample D+10 not realistic

Don't let a silly thing like an oversampled poll get in the way of the truth, comrade!

Who cares if the poll shows a larger DEM sample than the 2008 results AND there's ample evidence that the Democrats are lagging behind '08 numbers in early voting? Nothing to see here!

Trust the no-name pollster over reputable establishments like Rasmussen and SUSA. Why? It shows an Obama lead beyond the MOE. That's why.

For the record, Ohio has mirrored the national vote between 0-3% in every election since 1960. And they have gotten it right in every election since 1960. It's slight advantage Romney in the national vote right now.

While it may be slight advantage Obama right now in Ohio, but it's not a five-point lead. If it were, this race wouldn't be contested as brutally as it is right now there.

[opebo]

The states colored blue only give Romney 267. The green represents the Obama firewall and Romney has to take one of them in order to win. Good luck with that! The Obama firewall is an unstoppable creation.

I guess you're being facetious, but it doesn't look great on that front for your guy - after all he's not ahead in polling in VA, NH, IA, or CO anyway.  In my opinion only Nevada is really 'unstoppable' for Obama, however.

[Mr.Phips]

The states colored blue only give Romney 267. The green represents the Obama firewall and Romney has to take one of them in order to win. Good luck with that! The Obama firewall is an unstoppable creation.

I guess you're being facetious, but it doesn't look great on that front for your guy - after all he's not ahead in polling in VA, NH, IA, or CO anyway.  In my opinion only Nevada is really 'unstoppable' for Obama, however.

He's tied in Virginia and Colorado.  Nine times out of ten, a tie goes to the challenger. 

[opebo]

...he's not ahead in polling in VA, NH, IA, or CO anyway.  In my opinion only Nevada is really 'unstoppable' for Obama, however.

He's tied in Virginia and Colorado.  Nine times out of ten, a tie goes to the challenger. 

Well, I have no idea if that's true, but accepting it, here's the current map:

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

...he's not ahead in polling in VA, NH, IA, or CO anyway.  In my opinion only Nevada is really 'unstoppable' for Obama, however.

He's tied in Virginia and Colorado.  Nine times out of ten, a tie goes to the challenger. 

Well, I have no idea if that's true, but accepting it, here's the current map:

It's not true.

[freepcrusher]

Jesus Christ, why does this damn state like Obama so much?  

All you Democrats will really be laughing in 2014 when we fall down to a puny third in the House and fall below 40 in the Senate so President Christie can come in and privitize Social Security and Medicare.

Talk about cutting off your noses to spite your face.  

Whoever wins this election will be welcomed with a booming economy in the next few months.

Yeah, this is a big part of why Phips is ridiculous. If Romney wins he'll be take credit for the recovery and win re-election in a landslide and the Democrats will be shut out of government for a decade. Pretending there's some distinction between the Democratic agenda and Obama's re-election makes no sense at this point.

This is one of the reasons why a Romney win would be so sickening.  Two months in and the economy is picking up and here's President Romney claiming that his election victory removed all that uncertainty Obama caused.  

Ugh... would be enough to make me throw up.  

chill out. Under a Romney presidency, the democrats probably hold all their senate seats and beat McConnell and Chambliss in the senate. They also likely win the house.