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  Talk Elections
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  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  National, Monmouth: Romney in the lead
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Author Topic: National, Monmouth: Romney in the lead  (Read 558 times)
krazen1211
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« on: October 22, 2012, 11:37:31 am »

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/0e2e970e-a544-4f4d-8659-6233705b8ae7.pdf

Romney 48
Obama 45


Great news! Romney is being lifted by his excellent +10 favorables as well as Paul Ryan's excellent +11 favorables.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2012, 11:39:19 am »

Obama with only a 6 point lead among Latinos.......lol
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afleitch
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2012, 11:53:03 am »

Obama with only a 6 point lead among Latinos.......lol

See my post on this.
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Clamdick McClaw
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2012, 11:59:21 am »

Obama with only a 6 point lead among Latinos.......lol

hahahaha... thats awesome. 
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Gustaf
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2012, 12:30:32 pm »

Criticizing subsamples doesn't necessarily make any sense.

I can't recall the poll board ever being this bad. Everyone just pretends as if every poll going against their candidate is useless with arguments of ever-decreasing quality.
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Umengus
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« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2012, 12:31:04 pm »

Party id= D +4
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LiberalJunkie
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2012, 12:32:55 pm »

HAHAHAHA 6 points?!?!?
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afleitch
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2012, 12:39:43 pm »

Criticizing subsamples doesn't necessarily make any sense.

I can't recall the poll board ever being this bad. Everyone just pretends as if every poll going against their candidate is useless with arguments of ever-decreasing quality.

I agree with you when it comes to party ID etc, but I think there is some credence in being concerned with demographic sub samples which don't change nationally by too much year on year. I mean this poll is pretty consistent (when compared with other polls) when it comes to White and Black voting intention; but it sticks out like a sore thumb with Hispanics. It would be the same if a poll suddenly showed Romney within 10% of Obama on the black vote despite that not happening in any national election in the modern era.
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Beat-‘Em-All Beto
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« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2012, 02:19:20 pm »

Is there a reason RCP includes this crappy pollster, Rasmussen, the Wash Times, and Politico but not PPP?
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2012, 02:21:30 pm »

Because RCP is a joke run by Republican hacks. They're also not including the Democracy Corps survey, showing Obama up by 3, for some reason
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J. J.
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« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2012, 02:25:09 pm »

Criticizing subsamples doesn't necessarily make any sense.

I can't recall the poll board ever being this bad. Everyone just pretends as if every poll going against their candidate is useless with arguments of ever-decreasing quality.

Pretty much this.
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Senator Scott🦋
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2012, 02:29:43 pm »

How reliable in Monmouth?  First time I ever heard of it.
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J. J.
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« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2012, 02:32:21 pm »

How reliable in Monmouth?  First time I ever heard of it.

It's a uni poll, so it is not particularly good. 
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Brittain33
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« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2012, 02:52:39 pm »

Criticizing subsamples doesn't necessarily make any sense.

I can't recall the poll board ever being this bad. Everyone just pretends as if every poll going against their candidate is useless with arguments of ever-decreasing quality.

What's really galling are the bogus claims of false equivalence.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2012, 02:55:24 pm »

Gustaf loves bogus equivalence. It's no coincidence that he's complaining about this in a thread where the red avatars are (rightfully) criticizing a suspect poll.
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