NBC/Marist: Obama with decent leads in Iowa, Wisconsin
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  NBC/Marist: Obama with decent leads in Iowa, Wisconsin
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Author Topic: NBC/Marist: Obama with decent leads in Iowa, Wisconsin  (Read 1786 times)
sobo
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« Reply #25 on: October 18, 2012, 08:16:31 PM »

About the early voting/Election Day voters crowd

I don't think Obama is winning 2:1 in early voting, but I also don't think Romney's winning by 15 points on Election Day

More like Obama's winning by 15 in the early vote right now (33%) and Romney is winning by about 3-4% with traditional Election Day voters

The early voting is 19%, not 33%.

The early vote that has actually been received by the polling offices is 19%. There are probably many additional votes that have been made and mailed but not received back at the polling places yet. Not 33% of course, but more than 19%.
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Cliffy
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« Reply #26 on: October 18, 2012, 08:26:34 PM »

junk polls.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #27 on: October 18, 2012, 08:27:29 PM »

Back to where President Obama was before the first debate. Except that it is now a couple weeks later. Nothing happening in net and nothing happening in such a time simply means that the calendar dates are running out.

At this point a 6% lead now for President Obama now may be harder for Mitt Romney than an 8% Obama lead three weeks ago. We are going to see more polls, few as favorable to the President as those by Marist. We are going to see more polls of Florida, Ohio, and Virginia.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #28 on: October 18, 2012, 08:35:40 PM »

junk polls.
[/quote

true... I wish we could get numbers from a real pollster like Gravis Marketing.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #29 on: October 18, 2012, 08:42:56 PM »

The Gender Gap is back! In both IA & WI:

Females: 57-39 Obama
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Cliffy
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« Reply #30 on: October 18, 2012, 08:57:30 PM »

junk polls.
[/quote

true... I wish we could get numbers from a real pollster like Gravis Marketing.

How many people were polled? and how many times are you going to list polls that aren't even within 50% of the actual results on early voting..... it's just a bad joke.  But hey eventually you're right those ballots will come in, good grief.
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Vern
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« Reply #31 on: October 18, 2012, 09:21:31 PM »

I still believe that most of the polls are off, and we truly don't know what's going on..
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