Greatest landslide (user search)
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  Greatest landslide (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which do you consider the greatest landslide?
#1
1936 - FDR		  
#2
1964 - LBJ		  
#3
1972 - Nixon		  
#4
1984 - Reagan		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 62

Author Topic: Greatest landslide  (Read 6150 times)
A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35
« on: January 28, 2005, 11:01:45 PM »
One of those happened because of a terrible opponent. The other one happened because of Kennedy sympathy and a terrible opponent.

Reagan's the only one to almost sweep the states.
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A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35
« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2005, 02:20:14 AM »
Yes, but Nixon lost by several points in Massachusetts. Reagan lost Minnesota by less than a fifth of a percentage point.

Same thing with FDR. He won every state except two, but those two voted for the other guy by fair amounts.

Harding won because of widespread distaste for Wilson.
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A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35
« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2005, 07:06:55 PM »

What do you mean?
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A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35
« Reply #3 on: February 06, 2005, 09:14:15 PM »
Quote from: Senator Gabu, PPT on February 04, 2005, 07:11:19 PM
I'm going to use the following scheme: I induce a 10% shift to the loser in every state in each landslide, to weed out the landslides with a deceptively large number of states won.  Basically, this will show whether an election was truly a monumental landslide or actually a very close election in which nearly every state just barely went to the victor.

1936:



Roosevelt 284 (50.80% PV)
Landon 247 (46.55% PV)

1964:



Johnson 301 (51.05% PV)
Goldwater 237 (38.47% PV)

1972:



Nixon 301 (50.67% PV)
McGovern 237 (47.52% PV)

1984:



Mondale 278 (50.56% PV)
Reagan 260 (48.77% PV)

So, according to this scheme, 1964 and 1972 are tied (!) for first in the EV, with Johnson barely getting a higher percentage of the PV, making him the overall winner.  In third is 1936, and in fourth is 1984, the only election in which a 10% shift made the victor into the loser.  So, to summarize:

1. 1964
2. 1972
3. 1936
4. 1984

Yes, Reagan lovers, I'm sorry to say that your favorite president wasn't the one who had the greatest landslide in US history. Smiley

Your "10% shift" is really a 20% shift.
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A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35
« Reply #4 on: February 10, 2005, 08:57:50 PM »
« Edited: February 10, 2005, 09:01:15 PM by Philip »
Nixon and Reagan are tied for the most states. Both won 49.

DC is a city. Counting it as a state isn't a very good idea, because the demographics are completely different.

Reagan came closest to winning every state, as has been said before. That's the sole criteria by which it can be judged the greatest landslide.
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A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35
« Reply #5 on: February 10, 2005, 09:03:22 PM »
Campaign appearances are just for supporters anyway, right?
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