How many Congressional districts will Obama carry? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 06:50:19 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderators: muon2, 100% pro-life no matter what)
  How many Congressional districts will Obama carry? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: How many Congressional districts will Obama carry?  (Read 829 times)
Nichlemn
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,920
« on: September 26, 2012, 01:28:30 AM »
If there was a sortable spreadsheet, it'd be easy to make guesses with uniform swing. (This Daily Kos one doesn't seem to be sortable).

As it stands, with 538 projecting a PV victory of about 3.5 points, I'm guessing that would leave Obama with perhaps a bare majority of CDs. Obama winning with a minority is very plausible.
Logged
Nichlemn
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,920
« Reply #1 on: September 26, 2012, 01:53:15 AM »
As for McCain/Obama districts, the least McCain AZ districts seem to be the best shots (AZ-02 at 50-49 being the most plausible, followed by AZ-01 at 51-47).

Obama/Romney districts will mostly be the narrowly Obama districts from 2008. CT-04 (Fairfield County, home to lots of finance types) is probably the strongest Obama district (at 60%) that Romney has a reasonable chance at carrying.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.017 seconds with 12 queries.