PA-Mercyhurst University: Obama up 8

[Tender Branson]

Q.6 If the presidential election were held today, which candidate would you votefor? Would you vote for Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, Someone Else, or are youunsure?

Barack Obama 48%
Mitt Romney 40%
Someone else 5%
Unsure 6%
Refused 1%

Q.7 I realize you are unsure about who you will vote for in the presidentialelection, but what if you had to cast your vote today? Would you cast your vote forMitt Romney, Barack Obama, or Someone Else?

Barack Obama 32%
Mitt Romney 25%
Someone Else 14%
unsure (volunteered) 17%
Don't Know 13%
Refused -

http://www.politicspa.com/mercyhurst-poll-obama-48-romney-40/41625/

...

So with the leaners it's basically 50-41.5 for Obama.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

But is that a poll of registered voters or likely voters?  And what is the margin of error?  Romney can still pull it out in Pennsylvania, since there's plenty of time left.

[mondale84]

But is that a poll of registered voters or likely voters?  And what is the margin of error?  Romney can still pull it out in Pennsylvania, since there's plenty of time left.

LOL

[Tender Branson]

But is that a poll of registered voters or likely voters?  And what is the margin of error?  Romney can still pull it out in Pennsylvania, since there's plenty of time left.

Likely voters.

You can read it in their release in my link.

[Craigo]

Mercyhurst's numbers: 48/40/5
My numbers:    44.9/45.1/10









Just kidding.

[pa2011]

8 points for PA seems about right. Don't really buy Obama is up double digits there and don't really buy he is somehow only up 1 or 2 while leading in Ohio by 5 and New Jersey by 12.

[J. J.]

University polls.  There is only one that I really trust in PA, and this one isn't it.  

[Craigo]

University polls.  There is only one that I really trust in PA, and this one isn't it.  

There's no reason to distrust university polls. Private-sector pollsters hate them because they hate having competitors who don't need to turn a profit or even break even.

[Eraserhead]

But is that a poll of registered voters or likely voters?  And what is the margin of error?  Romney can still pull it out in Pennsylvania, since there's plenty of time left.

He's not even trying to win in Pennsylvania.

[technical support]

But is that a poll of registered voters or likely voters?  And what is the margin of error?  Romney can still pull it out in Pennsylvania, since there's plenty of time left.

He's not even trying to win in Pennsylvania.

right about that. romney spends most his time with rich donors in calif than voters

[technical support]

But is that a poll of registered voters or likely voters?  And what is the margin of error?  Romney can still pull it out in Pennsylvania, since there's plenty of time left.

sure if he had senator toomey or santorum on the ticket. nevermind didn't santorum lose re-election there big. And toomey is boring. btw who is toomey

[J. J.]

University polls.  There is only one that I really trust in PA, and this one isn't it.  

There's no reason to distrust university polls. Private-sector pollsters hate them because they hate having competitors who don't need to turn a profit or even break even.

Ah, they use college students. 

[Craigo]

University polls.  There is only one that I really trust in PA, and this one isn't it.  

There's no reason to distrust university polls. Private-sector pollsters hate them because they hate having competitors who don't need to turn a profit or even break even.

Ah, they use college students. 

Ever been in a call center? If you're expecting a horde of highly motivated and trained professionals, you're in for a surprise.

[MaxQue]

University polls.  There is only one that I really trust in PA, and this one isn't it.  

There's no reason to distrust university polls. Private-sector pollsters hate them because they hate having competitors who don't need to turn a profit or even break even.

Ah, they use college students. 

And who professional pollsters use to do polling?
Students, the only ones wanting to do it.

[J. J.]

University polls.  There is only one that I really trust in PA, and this one isn't it.  

There's no reason to distrust university polls. Private-sector pollsters hate them because they hate having competitors who don't need to turn a profit or even break even.

Ah, they use college students. 

Ever been in a call center? If you're expecting a horde of highly motivated and trained professionals, you're in for a surprise.

Yes, I've done polling.  Except for the occasional very well run poll, these are usually a step up from a push poll.

The Vorlon's opinion was quite right and proven many times over