PPP - Obama up 51 to 45 in Colorado
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  PPP - Obama up 51 to 45 in Colorado
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Author Topic: PPP - Obama up 51 to 45 in Colorado  (Read 1031 times)
pa2011
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« on: September 23, 2012, 08:39:45 PM »

No link yet.
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xavier110
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« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2012, 08:57:40 PM »

Breaking 50...it's starting to end
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2012, 09:00:18 PM »

Romney was right, both sides have 47. Problem is that Obama nailed down his 47 at the DNC and he is now grabbing the 6, whereas Romney still hasn't got his 47 base nailed down
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Simfan34
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« Reply #3 on: September 23, 2012, 09:02:30 PM »

I think under-35s were oversampled, a natural Obama demographic. With a more even sample you'd get a tie or even a Romney lead.
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sobo
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« Reply #4 on: September 23, 2012, 09:57:24 PM »

I think under-35s were oversampled, a natural Obama demographic. With a more even sample you'd get a tie or even a Romney lead.

How so? The 18-29 group was 12% of this poll, compared to 14% in 2008 and 15% in 2004.
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dspNY
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« Reply #5 on: September 23, 2012, 10:06:41 PM »

No complaining about Party ID with this poll...it is dead even (Colorado's turnout will likely be a perfectly even split between Dems and GOP).

Plus, racial demographics were 81% white, 13% Hispanic, and 7% other in 2008. In this poll, the sample was 83% white, 11% Hispanic, and 6-7% other, so there's a good chance Hispanics are being underpolled slightly (they're the fastest growing population in Colorado).

Good poll by PPP here. I sort of question the other poll they conducted for Florida; for some reason, I think Obama has a razor thin lead there of 1-2 points


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Mister Twister
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« Reply #6 on: September 23, 2012, 11:19:20 PM »

I think under-35s were oversampled, a natural Obama demographic. With a more even sample you'd get a tie or even a Romney lead.

How so? The 18-29 group was 12% of this poll, compared to 14% in 2008 and 15% in 2004.

I think he was just joking around. This poll is fine (might even be too GOP friendly actually!)
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Devils30
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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2012, 12:43:21 AM »

Check the 2008, 2010 senate PPP polls here. They were the only pollster to predict Obama's high margin, most others had him winning by 4-6 when he won by 9. They only had Buck by 1 in 2010 when all others had it pretty much over for Bennet at 3-4.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #8 on: September 24, 2012, 12:43:30 AM »

Smiley
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #9 on: September 24, 2012, 05:09:53 AM »

PPP: CO: Obama: 50/47 my numbers: 48.8/50.2

Obama/Romney/Johnson: 49/43/4
my numbers: 48.1/47.8/4

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/09/obama-up-6-in-colorado.html

Obama will break sixty in Colorado.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #10 on: September 24, 2012, 05:11:18 AM »

PPP: CO: Obama: 50/47 my numbers: 48.8/50.2

Obama/Romney/Johnson: 49/43/4
my numbers: 48.1/47.8/4

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/09/obama-up-6-in-colorado.html

*high pitched squeal!!!!*
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