NE-Wiese Research Associates/World-Herald Poll: NE-02 could go to Obama again

[Tender Branson]

Likely voters:

Nebraska: 51-40 Romney/Ryan

NE-02: 44-44 tie

...

For example, Kerrey and Obama both trailed in the vast 3rd Congressional District by 25 percentage points or more.

And Kerrey and Obama each hit the same 43 percent support in the Lincoln-centered 1st Congressional District.

...

Nebraska may not love Obama, but the state also is not enamored of his Republican opponent. Only 43 percent of registered voters had a favorable view of Romney, with 38 percent expressing a negative opinion. A big chunk — 17 percent — were neutral.

...

The poll was conducted Sept. 17-20 by Wiese Research Associates of Omaha. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

[Tender Branson]

Forgot the link. Here it is:

http://www.omaha.com/article/20120923/NEWS/709239923/1685

[Eraserhead]

Obama's only 11 points behind in Nebraska? lol.

[pbrower2a]

If the Republican nominee for President were not a Mormon, then NE-03 would be the easiest district-based vote or state electoral votes for the Republican.

Nebraska only 11 up for the Republican nominee might indicate a nationwide collapse for Mitt Romney.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

I expect this to be a state that trends Romney.

[dspNY]

Just for everyone's information, since 1964, the Republican candidate for President in Nebraska has carried the state by at least 15% in every election (McCain's 15% win was the worst performance by a Republican since Johnson/Goldwater)

[Earthling]

I really doubt this poll accurate. Romney will probably win Nebraska by 20% and NE 2 is not going for Obama unless Romney collapses.

[LiberalJunkie]

NE 2 is not going for Obama unless Romney collapses.

He isn't collapsing now?

[Alcon]

NE-2 was even more anomalous in 2008 than Indiana by most measures, and has been districted to become more Republican.  It's very difficult to buy this.

[Minnesota Mike]

NE-2 was even more anomalous in 2008 than Indiana by most measures, and has been districted to become more Republican.  It's very difficult to buy this.

Obama would have carried the new NE-02 in 2008 by almost the identical margin as the old NE-02.  The district really did not change much at all.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/01/13/1054554/-Presidential-results-by-congressional-district-2011-12?detail=hide