YouGov polls 27 states

[classical liberal]

Given that every state has LV results, why were all of the swing states (CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI) entered into the database with the RV results instead?

[classical liberal]

Blank map.

I am going to put YouGov polls here. They seem to be interactive, and thus suspect by one of my standards, so I will not incorporate them into my other model. This is a different color scheme from that model with four levels of saturation... and white.  Likely voters only. I'm going on margins. I will show districts for Maine and Nebraska, if available.

The slate --

Because someone has set up another map based on vote totals, please do not confuse this one with that one. I go on margins. Remember -- YouGov only -- not ARG, Marist, PPP, Purple Strategies, Quinnipiac, Rasmussen, Survey USA, etc. Likely voters only, and I go with leaners.

I prefer margins until the election is settled and official... but until votes are cast and counted. It is far easier at this point to overturn a 50.1-49.7 lead than it is to overturn a 48.1-45.3 lead, let alone a 58-41 lead.  

Obama red --   2-3% pink, 4-9% red, 10-19% maroon, 15% or more deep red

Romney blue -- 2-3% light blue, 4-10% medium blue, 10-10% navy , 20%+ midnight blue


Those are 20%, 40%, 60%, and 80% saturation

1% or less either way -- white (yellow 10% because the number shows).

Why do you have different thresholds for the saturation levels of Obama leads than for Romney

[classical liberal]

Has anyone considered that perhaps, given that we have 50 polls quoting 95% confidence intervals, and that we consequently expect 2-3 outliers, the TN results might be one of them, or are we having too much fun making prejudiced statements about likely voters in the state?

[classical liberal]

I would rather see a poll of SC, which I doubt anyone really considers to be a tossup, than a further poll of states that look right based on the averages of polls already in the DB.