Marist/NBC News: Obama leads in CO, IA, WI

[pbrower2a]

Its still early, but really starting to seem there are just so many places Romney has to do SERIOUS work over the next six weeks. Really 4 weeks. Lets face it, by mid October, barring an extreme crisis, things are likely to be locked in.  Can Romney really regain a lead in Ohio, Florida,Colorado, Virginia, New Hampshire all the while making sure there is not some sort of Obama surprise in North Carolina?  Romney's task is even more daunting when you consider there appear to be some individual issues in each state that he must over come. Wind in Iowa. Auto workers in Ohio. Hispanic vote in Florida. And the fact that Virginia just seems to like Obama. Daunting for Romney, to say the least.

While I agree that Romney is going to have a difficult time crawling out of this hole he's dug himself into, I don't think you're going about this right.  For the most part, all of the states swing pretty much together along with the national average.  So if Romney were to hypothetically have a stellar debate performance and got a 5 point bump in national polls, most of the swing states would swing 5 points toward him.

I think that Scott Rasmussen will eventually recognize a "late collapse" by Romney or a "late surge" by Obama, or that not-so-likely voters in fact voted heavily for President Obama.

[Likely Voter]

This morning NBC changed their battleground map to move IA to lean Obama. The other 8 remain unchanged

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Wow, looks like Romney is giving up on Iowa. 

Splendid news!

[Badger]

Wow, looks like Romney is giving up on Iowa. 

Splendid news!

What makes you say that? Are there news reports he's pulling out?

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Wow, looks like Romney is giving up on Iowa. 

Splendid news!

What makes you say that? Are there news reports he's pulling out?

It's an exaggeration of NBC's decision to move Iowa into the "Lean Obama" category after not only looking at numbers but talking to the campaigns.  They feel that the Romney campaign is saying that winning there is a stretch based on their own internals. 

Correction, I should have said Romney "could" pull out of Iowa if what NBC reported was true, since I can't see Romney going after 6 EVs when he's got to play offense in FL and OH.   

"Splendid news" was obviously just a shot at a certain PA republican.