Marist/NBC News: Obama leads in CO, IA, WI

[Tender Branson]

Mark Murray from NBC just answered my tweet question:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/248498267925667842

[SPC]

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Finally, a poll of Iowa. I expect things will be close there.

[Gass3268]

So is Marist/NBC is pretty much saying:

Top Tier Swing States: Florida, Ohio and Virginia
2nd Tier Swing States: Colorado, Iowa and Wisconsin

Smart and accurate assessment if you ask me!

[Person Man]

Anyone make to make guesses?

I would say

CO O+3
WI  O+4
IA O+1

[SPC]

My guess:
CO O+2
WI O+8
IA O+3

[ajb]

WI and IA tend to vote in tandem -- but this year we have a VP nominee from WI, which ought to be boosting Republican numbers there a bit. I wouldn't be surprised to see Obama do slightly better in the IA poll than in the WI one.

[Lief 🗽]

Guess:
CO O+3
WI O+8
IA O+6

[Sbane]

When are these coming out?

[Person Man]

When are these coming out?

630 EDT

[pa2011]

No link yet

CO: Obama 50%, Romney 45%;
IA: Obama 50%, Romney 42%;
WI: Obama 50%, Romney 45

[ajb]

http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/09/20/13993186-polls-obama-ahead-in-colorado-iowa-and-wisconsin?lite

Glad to say I called IA being stronger than WI for Obama.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Iowa-
Obama - 50%
Romney - 42%

Colorado
Obama - 50%
Romney - 45%

Wisconsin
Obama - 50%
Romney - 45%

http://firstread.nbcnews.com

includes leaners

[mondale84]

...and Scotty proves once again that he's a troll...

[Reds4]

These polls make sense when you compare them to Obama being ahead 5 in NBC's national poll.. being even with national average isn't the worst thing ever for Mitt in Colorado/Wisconsin.. the Iowa poll is bad for Romney though.

[Likely Voter]

http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/09/20/13993186-polls-obama-ahead-in-colorado-iowa-and-wisconsin?lite

Glad to say I called IA being stronger than WI for Obama.

that was a good call. I had guessed it would be the other way around.

[J. J.]

I'm not thrilled with Marist, and IA is one of the states where Obama grandly overpolled in 2008.

I'd like to see some more.

[pa2011]

Its still early, but really starting to seem there are just so many places Romney has to do SERIOUS work over the next six weeks. Really 4 weeks. Lets face it, by mid October, barring an extreme crisis, things are likely to be locked in.  Can Romney really regain a lead in Ohio, Florida,Colorado, Virginia, New Hampshire all the while making sure there is not some sort of Obama surprise in North Carolina?  Romney's task is even more daunting when you consider there appear to be some individual issues in each state that he must over come. Wind in Iowa. Auto workers in Ohio. Hispanic vote in Florida. And the fact that Virginia just seems to like Obama. Daunting for Romney, to say the least.

[Niemeyerite]

Hahaha. Scotty, did you seriously poll Iowa?

[Mehmentum]

Its still early, but really starting to seem there are just so many places Romney has to do SERIOUS work over the next six weeks. Really 4 weeks. Lets face it, by mid October, barring an extreme crisis, things are likely to be locked in.  Can Romney really regain a lead in Ohio, Florida,Colorado, Virginia, New Hampshire all the while making sure there is not some sort of Obama surprise in North Carolina?  Romney's task is even more daunting when you consider there appear to be some individual issues in each state that he must over come. Wind in Iowa. Auto workers in Ohio. Hispanic vote in Florida. And the fact that Virginia just seems to like Obama. Daunting for Romney, to say the least.

While I agree that Romney is going to have a difficult time crawling out of this hole he's dug himself into, I don't think you're going about this right.  For the most part, all of the states swing pretty much together along with the national average.  So if Romney were to hypothetically have a stellar debate performance and got a 5 point bump in national polls, most of the swing states would swing 5 points toward him.

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Wisconsin President by Marist College on 2012-09-19

Summary: D: 50%, R: 45%, I: 1%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Iowa President by Marist College on 2012-09-19

Summary: D: 50%, R: 42%, I: 1%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Colorado President by Marist College on 2012-09-19

Summary: D: 50%, R: 45%, I: 1%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[SPC]

I'm not thrilled with Marist, and IA is one of the states where Obama grandly overpolled in 2008.

I'd like to see some more.

Marist got Iowa right on the dot in 2008.

[Tender Branson]

Merged 3 (!) topics about this poll.

If a poll is released, could you please look in here if there's already a topic about it, and if yes please don't create hundreds of threads about the same poll. Thx.

PS: Excellent news for Obama in CO & IA. After looking like a close race in both states, it's moving towards Obama again ...