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  Quinnipiac to release new CO, VA, WI polls today @ 7am EST
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac to release new CO, VA, WI polls today @ 7am EST  (Read 3283 times)
Skill and Chance
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« Reply #25 on: September 19, 2012, 10:08:29 am »

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In other words, Party ID on that Virginia poll is D+11. It was D+6 in 2008. So, uhh, yeah.

Also, despite the shift in party ID from their last poll (their last poll was D+7), the race remains unchanged essentially (Obama led 49-45%, by the same four point margin, back in August).

There are almost certainly more Democrats in VA today than there were in 2008. 
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #26 on: September 19, 2012, 10:34:40 am »

PRESIDENT WISCONSIN (Quinnipiac): Obama: 51/46 my numbers: 48.4/49
Barack Obama (D-inc) 51%
Mitt Romney (R) 45%
my numbers: Romney/Obama: 48.6/48.6

Qiunn says Obama losing the Indies 44/50 don`t see a way to win for him if true

US SENATE WISCONSIN (Quinnipiac)
Tammy Baldwin (D) 47%
Tommy Thompson (R) 47%
my numbers:Thompson/Baldwin: 49.6/45.2

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/swb/swi09192012_back.doc

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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #27 on: September 19, 2012, 11:07:10 am »

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Umengus
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« Reply #28 on: September 19, 2012, 12:49:30 pm »

So Romney wins I by 11 in VA, by 6 in WI and lose by 1 in CO.

In the 3 states, Republicans seem more energized than democrats (at leat, it's equal).


Conclucion: the party id of these polls is an outrage.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #29 on: September 19, 2012, 02:52:30 pm »

98% of WI Dems and 97% of CO Dems and 95% of VA Dems vote for Obama.

Are these new records ?
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timothyinMD
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« Reply #30 on: September 19, 2012, 03:05:17 pm »

Hilarious to see the Democrats creaming their pants over these polls.  What losers
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Marokai Backbeat
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« Reply #31 on: September 19, 2012, 03:46:33 pm »

Hilarious to see the Democrats creaming their pants over these polls.  What losers

It's so cool to act tough on a political message board. Now flex those muscles!
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #32 on: September 19, 2012, 06:35:35 pm »

Hilarious to see the Democrats creaming their pants over these polls.  What losers

At this momment, it's pretty hilarious to call democrats "losers", specially when our candidate is leading in OH, FL, VA, WI, NV and IA.
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Craigo
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« Reply #33 on: September 19, 2012, 06:54:29 pm »
« Edited: September 19, 2012, 06:56:03 pm by Craigo »

So Romney wins I by 11 in VA, by 6 in WI and lose by 1 in CO.

In the 3 states, Republicans seem more energized than democrats (at leat, it's equal).


Conclucion: the party id of these polls is an outrage.

Party ID is a dependent variable of voter intention, and bears only a weak relationship with it. There's a reason why pollsters don't weight by party ID.
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Mister Twister
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« Reply #34 on: September 19, 2012, 07:26:54 pm »

Hilarious to see the Democrats creaming their pants over these polls.  What losers

I'd rather be creaming my pants with glee than be in your situation which is "choking the chicken" using your own tears (produced by the recent polling) as lube.
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Devils30
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« Reply #35 on: September 19, 2012, 11:51:26 pm »

I wouldn't be shocked if the Colorado November 6 average is something like Obama 47-46 and then Obama wins 52-47.
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