PPP Wisconsin Obama 49-Romney 48

[Lief 🗽]

Party IDs for Wisconsin:

2008: D+6
2010: D+1
2012 recall: R+1

This poll: R+4

Make of that what you will.

[Lief 🗽]

Just so we're clear, how, uh, plausible is this R+4 thing? Were the various recalls like that? Was 2010, even?

Scott Walker has been spending the last couple years creating new Republicans in the Green Bay Metro and in Waukesha.

You seriously think the 2012 general election electorate will be considerably more Republican than the recall electorate???

[Lief 🗽]

Wow - if you didn't know any better, you'd think party ID all of a sudden meant something around here. I thought party ID was irrelevant, unrealiable, volatile, an amateur's game?

I always figured that once we got a favorable looking R sample from someone, a lot of those that thought so little of Party ID would start complaining. R+4 in Wisconsin is certainly no more ridiculous than that stupid D+10 sample of likely voters in Ohio from the Marist poll last week, but I didn't hear any Democrats complaining about that.

I just think it's odd that when the party ID is obviously ridiculous, but in the Republicans' favor, the usual suspects don't seem to make a big deal of it. But if the party ID isn't a good 4 or 5 points less Democratic than it was in 2012, suddenly the poll is suspect.

[Lief 🗽]

True tossup. 

About the only state that I might move off the the list is NC, if Romney keeps on getting good numbers.

I'm hear some rumors of closing in FL.

Romney's numbers in NC are as good as Obama's numbers in Ohio, so I hope you'll be moving the Buckeye state off the list as well.

And who are you hearing these rumors from?

[Lief 🗽]

Pat Cadell, a Democrat

hahahahahahahahahahahahaha

good one

[Lief 🗽]

Pat Caddell doesn't even pretend to be a Democrat anymore, really. If you didn't know that he was a "Democrat" he'd sound like any other far-right Republican. He's still an interesting guy and I like watching that Campaign Insiders show he's on, but acting like he's a Democrat is ridiculous.