MI: Foster McCollum White & Associates: Obama and Romney Close in Michigan
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  MI: Foster McCollum White & Associates: Obama and Romney Close in Michigan
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Author Topic: MI: Foster McCollum White & Associates: Obama and Romney Close in Michigan  (Read 1610 times)
ElectionAtlas
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« on: September 15, 2012, 09:17:31 AM »

New Poll: Michigan President by Foster McCollum White & Associates on 2012-09-13

Summary: D: 46%, R: 44%, I: 5%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Ty440
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« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2012, 10:17:14 AM »

What percentage of the national vote does Romney need to actually carry Michigan?

I would guess  52%-53% , no way does Michigan go R with a close Romney popular vote win.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #2 on: September 15, 2012, 10:18:03 AM »

No.
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pa2011
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« Reply #3 on: September 15, 2012, 10:43:11 AM »

Sorry just can't buy that Obama is up 3 to 6 points in Ohio, and 11 in Pennsylvania, but leads by only 2 in Michigan.  Furthermore, do you think Romney and the Super Pacs would have really pulled out of Michigan if they thought it was a 2 point race. This poll just isn't believable.
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wan
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« Reply #4 on: September 15, 2012, 10:51:58 AM »

Sorry just can't buy that Obama is up 3 to 6 points in Ohio, and 11 in Pennsylvania, but leads by only 2 in Michigan.  Furthermore, do you think Romney and the Super Pacs would have really pulled out of Michigan if they thought it was a 2 point race. This poll just isn't believable.


heres a poll from cnn on thursday

While Romney was born in Michigan and his father served as a popular two-term governor of the state in the 1960's, a poll released Thursday indicates turning the state "red" in November is looking more difficult. According to an EPIC/MRA survey conducted for the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ-TV, 47% of likely voters in Michigan support the president, with 37% backing Romney and a high 16% unsure. Some surveys conducted prior to the two parties' political conventions indicated a closer contest in Michigan.

The auto bailouts of General Motors and Chrysler may be a factor. They were prominently showcased during all three nights of the Democratic convention, as was Romney's opposition to Washington's intervention.

President George W. Bush began the auto bailout in 2008 but the next year Obama grabbed the keys to the program, managing and funding the rescue of GM and Chrysler, and pushing them into bankruptcy. Romney, whose business past included investment in troubled companies, opposed the bailout and pushed for a privately financed and managed restructuring of the automakers in Chapter 11.

The auto bailouts may be impacting the race in Michigan, home to the domestic auto makers, and next door in Ohio, which is also a major base for the auto industry
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SPC
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« Reply #5 on: September 15, 2012, 11:30:07 AM »

This is the same pollster that had Romney up 14 in Florida, right?
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #6 on: September 15, 2012, 11:43:50 AM »

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morgieb
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« Reply #7 on: September 15, 2012, 08:25:08 PM »

Sorry just can't buy that Obama is up 3 to 6 points in Ohio, and 11 in Pennsylvania, but leads by only 2 in Michigan.  Furthermore, do you think Romney and the Super Pacs would have really pulled out of Michigan if they thought it was a 2 point race. This poll just isn't believable.

Michigan-only pollsters are notoriously R-leaning.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #8 on: September 15, 2012, 09:09:07 PM »

Nate Silver says this pollster has a 10-point Republican house effect. And their last poll here had Romney ahead by 4. Michigan is still strong Obama.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #9 on: September 16, 2012, 03:48:47 AM »

MI-only pollsters want publicity and client money, therefore they show a close race.
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Badger
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« Reply #10 on: September 16, 2012, 09:24:13 AM »

The superpacs supporting romney pulled out of MI along with PA the other week. Nuff said.
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Umengus
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« Reply #11 on: September 16, 2012, 12:49:58 PM »

it's a D firm according to realclearpolitics...

probably outlier...
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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #12 on: September 16, 2012, 12:55:43 PM »

Wasn't this the firm where somebody from the company posted a long and essentially incomprehensible explanation of why it was correct scientific practice to have 64% seniors and 1% under 30 in a Florida poll?
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Iowa+3
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #13 on: September 16, 2012, 09:09:21 PM »

Take 10 off and that's about perfect.
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J. J.
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« Reply #14 on: September 18, 2012, 11:47:58 AM »

The superpacs supporting romney pulled out of MI along with PA the other week. Nuff said.

One of just may $800 K buy there this week.

I am not thrilled about this pollster however.
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