AL-Capital Survey Research Center: Romney ahead by a 2008-ish margin (user search)
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  AL-Capital Survey Research Center: Romney ahead by a 2008-ish margin (search mode)
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Author Topic: AL-Capital Survey Research Center: Romney ahead by a 2008-ish margin  (Read 866 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: August 22, 2012, 01:16:04 PM »

53.9% Romney
35.5% Obama
10.6% Undecided

This year, the Aug. 13-16 poll of 452 registered voters in Alabama showed Romney with big leads among most voter groups, including voters over 35 years old, those with at least a high school education, whites, both genders, people who went to church at least once a week, and those who earn at least $25,000 a year.

In August 2008, Republican nominee John McCain was favored 47-34 over Obama among Alabama voters, with 19 percent undecided. McCain went on to win the state 60-39.

http://blog.al.com/sweethome/2012/08/new_poll_shows_mitt_romney_lea.html
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2012, 01:19:50 PM »

Whoops, forgot something from the article:

Quote
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So, adjusted for the Bradley-effect that we saw already in the 2008 Alabama polls, Obama will end up with 10% again this year.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: August 22, 2012, 01:52:52 PM »

When you look at the numbers, the margin is actually a few points less Republican than in 2008.

The undecideds in AL will probably break 7-4 for Romney.
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