Post random Presidential polls for Congressional Districts here (user search)
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  Post random Presidential polls for Congressional Districts here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random Presidential polls for Congressional Districts here  (Read 27314 times)
Torie
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Atlas Legend
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Posts: 46,076
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« on: September 23, 2012, 11:14:46 AM »
« edited: September 23, 2012, 11:19:49 AM by Torie »


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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,076
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2012, 01:17:22 PM »


Yes, Badger, that is the good news for you. The bad news is that NV-04 is about three quarters of a point more Dem than the state as a whole (3.44% Dem PVI versus 2.68% Dem for NV as a whole).  Tongue
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,076
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2012, 02:22:40 PM »


It's 2008 PVI was Dem 3%, so it went about 56% for Obama, 43% for McCain, or something like that. This should be an area that does trend Pub vis a vis the nation, just like my CD right up the road will.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,076
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2012, 02:25:27 PM »

I don't know, maybe my numbers (from here) are wrong? The district's CPVI is only D+1.

56-43 (the numbers from the Kos link), makes it a Dem 3% PVI CD based on 2008. It would have had a lower Dem PVI for 2004.
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