|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 26, 2020, 12:53:06 pm
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Fox News: Obama 49 Romney 40 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Fox News: Obama 49 Romney 40  (Read 1534 times)
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,110
United States


« on: August 09, 2012, 10:02:29 pm »

Does anyone here think the election day ID will be close to D+9? If you do, believe this poll. If not, put it in with the Colorado poll.

One Obama +7 and one Obama +9 poll may suggest that the Pew poll of last week was no outlier. Electoral collapses can happen at any time.  Any sensible person first figures "outlier"... but see enough polls with roughly-similar results and the first outlier may be an early indication of huge change.  

Possible explanation: Mitt Romney has made some serious gaffes and they are beginning to sink in. Sure, one can recover from a gaffe like the Obama classic "but they are tied to their guns and their religion" if they are clever enough in their rhetoric. But a politician who makes too many of them, makes gaffes too severe, or shows no ability to recover from them most likely shows himself going down to defeat.

OK -- the American economy remains a mess. The Iranian government rattles its sabers every few days. Mitt Romney's experience as a business executive looks at first sight like a qualification for competent management of the deficit. The GOP and related organizations seem to have unlimited funds for using against any Democrat.  Above all, President Obama is a horrible march for the political culture of some states that Democrats once absolutely had to win to have a chance (Arkansas, Tennessee, West Virginia).  

Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.139 seconds with 16 queries.