CNN/ORC Poll: Obama 52; Romney 45

[Minnesota Mike]

hmm, perhaps that Pew poll wasn't an outlier...

Bigger outlier, The Pew Poll or the Rasmussen daily tracker?

[Minnesota Mike]

LOL another RV and D oversampled poll and the only poll for a long time where Obama wins the Indy votes LOL again - from CNN this time:

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (CNN/ORC): Obama: 50/47 my numbers: 47.4/52.5
Barack Obama (D-inc) 52%
Mitt Romney (R) 45%
my numbers: Romney/Obama: 51/48.9

Your Numbers? So we all get to make up our own numbers now?

Obama 60
Romney 35

Landslide!

[Minnesota Mike]

No Minnesota mike

I am doing this for a several year now and have a impressive record I nailed the race in 2004 every race in 2006 every race (except MO) in 2008 and every race in 2010 (except WA)

you can follow my weekly electoral map on facebook:
 http://www.facebook.com/groups/185054414852195/

It`s all about Party ID!! and it should be a LV and not a RV!
It`s the only national poll showing Obama winning the Indy vote
but even with that scenario and the right Party ID he would lose!

No offense Ben but by election day 90% of the people here could pick the winner in almost every race. There are very few true tossups.  A quick look at the RCP polling averages or 538 and everyone is an expert.

[Minnesota Mike]

It appears that you have a model, not "numbers." A modeler may decide to weight different poll results for different reasons, but just deciding that turnout will look a certain way and twisting actual poll results to fit that is completely backwards and unprofessional.

What he said.